Sport Picks

Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2025 Keflavíkurvöllur, Keflavík

Keflavik

6 - 0

Throttur Vogar

Our Tip

Match Events

40'

Ragnarsson E.

51'

Sigfusson K.

53'

Saevarsson G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Keflavik in this Icelandic Cup 2025 tie, finishing 6-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Keflavik

15%

Draws

42%

Throttur Vogar

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keflavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Keflavik lately — more wins on the board than Throttur Vogar.
Model gives Keflavik a 43% chance of winning this.
Keflavik have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Keflavik, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 63%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%

Keflavik Clean Sheet 10%

Throttur Vogar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Keflavik	Throttur Vogar
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	13	11
Draws	5	2
Losses	11	15
Goals Scored	1.93	1.54
Goals Conceded	1.72	1.79
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Icelandic Cup

Keflavik vs Throttur Vogar

6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keflavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Sigfusson K.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Ragnarsson E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Throttur Vogar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87

Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keflavik 47 / 100

Throttur Vogar 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Keflavik Throttur Vogar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KEF Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keflavik found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Throttur Vogar has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Difficult form: Throttur Vogar registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Keflavik VS Throttur Vogar

1.88 Goals Scored 2.38

1.75 Goals Conceded 2.63

88% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 100%

38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Keflavik

(Home)

09 Aug

Stjarnan

1 : 0

Keflavik

05 Aug

Keflavik

3 : 0

KA Akureyri

24 Jul

Vikingur Reykjavik

5 : 1

Keflavik

20 Jul

Keflavik

5 : 2

Akranes

13 Jul

Breidablik

2 : 1

Keflavik

Page 1 of 6

Throttur Vogar

(Away)

09 Aug

Kormakur/Hvot

2 : 0

Throttur Vogar

29 Jul

Throttur Vogar

3 : 1

Hviti

25 Jul

KFA

4 : 2

Throttur Vogar

17 Jul

Haukar

2 : 1

Throttur Vogar

12 Jul

Throttur Vogar

5 : 1

KFG Gardabaer

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

KR Reykjavik -

TBD -

Vaengirs 1

KA Asvellir 2

SR Reykjavik 2

KFR 3

IBV Vestmannaeyjar -

TBD -

Vikingur Reykjavik -

KFG Gardabaer 2

Reynir 3

TBD -

Grindavik -

TBD -

Valur -

Fjallabyggd 3

Tindastoll 5

Volsungur 4

Dalvik/Reynir 2

Throttur -

TBD -

Ymir 3

Hafnir 4

Kari 7

KFS 1

Arbaer 4

Thorlakur 1

Aegir 2

KV Reykjavik 3

TBD -

Fylkir -

Stjarnan -

TBD -

Njardvik -

TBD -

BF 108 8

Afrika Reykjavik 0

Keflavik -

TBD -

Throttur Vogar -

Kria 2

Lettir 1

TBD -

Leiknir Reykjavik -

Olafsvik -

TBD -

Smari 4

Falkar 0

Hamar 1

Skallagrimur 3

Ulfarnir 3

Stokkseyri 0

Breidablik -

TBD -

Alafoss 3

RB Keflavik 4

TBD -

Fjolnir -

Vestri -

TBD -

Kopavogur -

TBD -

IBU 0

Hviti 6

IH Hafnarfjordur 4

KH Hlidarendi 1

TBD -

Selfoss -

KFK Kopavogur 1

Ellidi 5

Alftanes 0

Haukar 3

Thor Akureyri -

TBD -

Magni 4

Kormakur/Hvot 2

Arborg 0

Augnablik 4

TBD -

IR Reykjavik -

Grotta -

TBD -

Vidir 2

Hordur Isafjordur 0

TBD -

Akranes -

Afturelding -

TBD -

Einherji 0

Sindri 2

TBD -

Hottur / Huginn -

KA Akureyri -

TBD -

KFA -

TBD -

Spyrnir 5

Neisti 0

Fram -

TBD -

Hafnarfjordur -

1/32-finals

KR Reykjavik -

TBD -

KA Asvellir 3

KFR 2

IBV Vestmannaeyjar -

TBD -

Vikingur Reykjavik -

Reynir 0

Grindavik 5

TBD -

Valur -

Tindastoll 1

Volsungur 2

Throttur 7

Hafnir 0

Kari 8

Arbaer 1

KV Reykjavik 1

Fylkir 6

Stjarnan -

TBD -

Njardvik 5

BF 108 0

Keflavik 6

Throttur Vogar 0

Kria 0

Leiknir Reykjavik 5

Olafsvik 5

Smari 1

Skallagrimur 1

Ulfarnir 2

Breidablik -

TBD -

RB Keflavik 0

Fjolnir 4

Vestri -

TBD -

Kopavogur 4

Hviti 0

IH Hafnarfjordur 2

Selfoss 5

Ellidi 1

Haukar 3

Thor Akureyri 7

Magni 0

Augnablik 0

IR Reykjavik 5

Grotta 2

Vidir 1

TBD -

Akranes -

Afturelding -

TBD -

Sindri 0

Hottur / Huginn 1

KA Akureyri -

TBD -

KFA 3

Spyrnir 0

Fram -

TBD -

Hafnarfjordur -

1/16-finals

KR Reykjavik 11

KA Asvellir 0

IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3

Vikingur Reykjavik 0

Grindavik 1

Valur 3

Volsungur 2

Throttur 3

Kari 2

Fylkir 1

Stjarnan 5

Njardvik 3

Keflavik 1

Leiknir Reykjavik 0

Olafsvik 7

Ulfarnir 1

Breidablik 5

Fjolnir 0

Vestri 4

Kopavogur 3

Selfoss 4

Haukar 0

Thor Akureyri 3

IR Reykjavik 1

Grotta 1

Akranes 4

Afturelding 5

Hottur / Huginn 0

KA Akureyri 4

KFA 0

Fram 1

Hafnarfjordur 0

1/8-finals

KR Reykjavik 2

IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4

Valur 2

Throttur 1

Kari 2

Stjarnan 3

Keflavik 5

Olafsvik 2

Breidablik 1

Vestri 2

Selfoss 1

Thor Akureyri 4

Akranes 0

Afturelding 1

KA Akureyri 2

Fram 4

Quarter-finals

IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0

Valur 1

Stjarnan 4

Keflavik 2

Vestri 2

Thor Akureyri 0

Afturelding 0

Fram 1

Semi-finals

Valur 3

Stjarnan 1

Vestri 1

Fram 0

Final

Valur 0

Vestri 1

Keflavik vs Throttur Vogar

Iceland

Keflavik

Throttur Vogar

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Keflavik Compare

Throttur Vogar Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Keflavik

Throttur Vogar

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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