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Keflavik W vs Afturelding W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

League Cup Women 2022
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Keflavik W
15%
Draws
34%
Afturelding W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keflavik W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Keflavik W come out ahead of Afturelding W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Keflavik W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Keflavik W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Keflavik W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Keflavik W Clean Sheet 18%
Afturelding W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keflavik W Afturelding W
Matches Played 37 32
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 0
Losses 20 22
Goals Scored 1.7 1
Goals Conceded 1.92 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2023 League Cup Women
Keflavik W vs Afturelding W
3:2
Aug 16, 2022 Besta deild Women
Afturelding W vs Keflavik W
2:3
May 13, 2022 Besta deild Women
Keflavik W vs Afturelding W
1:2
Mar 2, 2022 League Cup Women
Keflavik W vs Afturelding W
2:2
Jun 14, 2020 Icelandic Cup Women
Keflavik W vs Afturelding W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keflavik W 76 / 100
Afturelding W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keflavik W Afturelding W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keflavik W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afturelding W let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Keflavik W scored in 76% of their last 37 outings.

Keflavik W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Keflavik W VS Afturelding W
2 Goals Scored 0.33
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Keflavik W

(Home)
15 May
Keflavik W
0 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik W
26 Apr
KT Reykjavik W
3 : 8
Keflavik W
18 Apr
Keflavik W
2 : 1
KR Reykjavik W
28 Apr
Keflavik W
2 : 3
Grindavik/Njardvik W
14 Mar
Vikingur Reykjavik W
0 : 3
Keflavik W
Page 1 of 8

Afturelding W

(Away)
26 Apr
Afturelding W
1 : 2
Akranes W
19 Apr
Afturelding W
:
KH Hlidarendi W
19 Apr
Kopavogur W
2 : 0
Afturelding W
11 Jun
Afturelding W
1 : 4
Throttur W
19 May
Afturelding W
1 : 0
Vikingur Reykjavik W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Breidablik W 5 5 0 0 16:3 15
2 Stjarnan W 5 3 0 2 13:8 9
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 5 2 0 3 14:8 6
4 KR Reykjavik W 5 1 2 2 6:9 5
5 Selfoss W 5 1 1 3 2:12 4
6 Tindastoll W 5 1 1 3 4:15 4
Promotion - League Cup Women 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valur W 5 5 0 0 23:0 15
2 Afturelding W 5 3 1 1 11:7 10
3 Thor/KA W 5 3 0 2 9:10 9
4 Keflavik W 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
5 Throttur W 5 1 0 4 5:13 3
6 Fylkir W 5 1 0 4 2:17 3
Promotion - League Cup Women 2022 (Play Offs)