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Keflavik W vs Breidablik W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

League Cup Women 2025 Keflavíkurvöllur, Keflavík
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Tomasdottir K.
46'
Sub
Georgsdottir B. In: Johannsdottir S. S.
Out: Georgsdottir B.
46'
Sub
Agustsdottir M. In: Fjeldsted A.
Out: Agustsdottir M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Breidablik W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Keflavik W
15%
Draws
42%
Breidablik W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keflavik W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Breidablik W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Keflavik W taking it.
  • Breidablik W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Breidablik W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Breidablik W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Keflavik W Clean Sheet 10%
Breidablik W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keflavik W Breidablik W
Matches Played 31 45
Wins 9 33
Draws 3 2
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.55 3.04
Goals Conceded 2 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2025 League Cup Women
Keflavik W vs Breidablik W
0:2
Jun 25, 2024 Besta deild Women
Keflavik W vs Breidablik W
0:2
Jun 11, 2024 Icelandic Cup Women
Breidablik W vs Keflavik W
5:2
Apr 22, 2024 Besta deild Women
Breidablik W vs Keflavik W
3:0
Mar 9, 2024 League Cup Women
Keflavik W vs Breidablik W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keflavik W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Breidablik W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomasdottir K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bjarnadottir A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keflavik W 38 / 100
Breidablik W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keflavik W Breidablik W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keflavik W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Keflavik W scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Breidablik W has conceded goals in 64% of their last 45 outings.

Keflavik W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Breidablik W
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Keflavik W

(Home)
15 May
Keflavik W
0 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik W
26 Apr
KT Reykjavik W
3 : 8
Keflavik W
18 Apr
Keflavik W
2 : 1
KR Reykjavik W
28 Apr
Keflavik W
2 : 3
Grindavik/Njardvik W
14 Mar
Vikingur Reykjavik W
0 : 3
Keflavik W
Page 1 of 7

Breidablik W

(Away)
04 Oct
Breidablik W
5 : 4
Throttur W
30 Sept
Czarni Sosnowiec W
1 : 0
Breidablik W
26 Sept
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W
1 : 2
Breidablik W
23 Sept
Breidablik W
2 : 6
Czarni Sosnowiec W
17 Sept
Breidablik W
4 : 1
Grindavik/Njardvik W
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thor/KA W 5 4 0 1 22:3 12
2 Valur W 5 4 0 1 16:3 12
3 Throttur W 5 3 1 1 19:4 10
4 Fram W 5 1 1 3 4:14 4
5 Fylkir W 5 1 0 4 3:18 3
6 Tindastoll W 5 1 0 4 3:25 3
Promotion - League Cup Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Breidablik W 5 5 0 0 20:3 15
2 Hafnarfjordur W 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
3 Stjarnan W 5 2 1 2 11:7 7
4 Keflavik W 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
5 Vikingur Reykjavik W 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
6 FHL W 5 0 0 5 1:20 0
Promotion - League Cup Women 2025 (Play Offs)