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Keflavik W vs Hafnarfjordur W

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Besta deild Women 2024 Keflavíkurvöllur, Keflavík
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Lewis A.
Assist: Forbes M.
28' Event
Miller S.
Assist: Lewis A.
30' Event
Lewis A.
Assist: Miller S.

AI Match Summary

Hafnarfjordur W in this Besta deild Women 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hafnarfjordur W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Keflavik W
15%
Draws
34%
Hafnarfjordur W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keflavik W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Hafnarfjordur W have won more games recently than Keflavik W.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Keflavik W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Keflavik W Clean Sheet 10%
Hafnarfjordur W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keflavik W Hafnarfjordur W
Matches Played 31 45
Wins 9 28
Draws 3 5
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.55 3.02
Goals Conceded 2 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 2.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 League Cup Women
Hafnarfjordur W vs Keflavik W
1:1
Aug 15, 2024 Besta deild Women
Keflavik W vs Hafnarfjordur W
3:4
Jun 15, 2024 Besta deild Women
Hafnarfjordur W vs Keflavik W
1:0
Aug 10, 2023 Besta deild Women
Keflavik W vs Hafnarfjordur W
1:1
May 16, 2023 Besta deild Women
Hafnarfjordur W vs Keflavik W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keflavik W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lewis A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Miller S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Hafnarfjordur W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jorundsdottir S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Snorradottir H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keflavik W 40 / 100
Hafnarfjordur W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keflavik W Hafnarfjordur W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Keflavik W's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Hafnarfjordur W let in goals in 76% of their last 45 matches.

Keflavik W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hafnarfjordur W
0 Goals Scored 4.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Keflavik W

(Home)
15 May
Keflavik W
0 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik W
26 Apr
KT Reykjavik W
3 : 8
Keflavik W
18 Apr
Keflavik W
2 : 1
KR Reykjavik W
28 Apr
Keflavik W
2 : 3
Grindavik/Njardvik W
14 Mar
Vikingur Reykjavik W
0 : 3
Keflavik W
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Hafnarfjordur W

(Away)
04 Oct
Hafnarfjordur W
5 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W
30 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt W
4 : 1
Hafnarfjordur W
27 Sept
Grindavik/Njardvik W
3 : 2
Hafnarfjordur W
23 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
0 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W
18 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
1 : 0
Stjarnan W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valur W 18 16 1 1 48:16 49
2 Breidablik W 18 16 0 2 46:9 48
3 Thor/KA W 18 9 3 6 40:28 30
4 Vikingur Reykjavik W 18 8 5 5 28:29 29
5 Hafnarfjordur W 18 8 1 9 30:36 25
6 Throttur W 18 7 2 9 23:27 23
7 Stjarnan W 18 6 3 9 22:34 21
8 Tindastoll W 18 3 4 11 20:41 13
9 Fylkir W 18 2 4 12 17:34 10
10 Keflavik W 18 3 1 14 16:36 10
Promotion - Besta deild Women 2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild Women 2024 (Relegation Group)