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Kehlen vs FC Mamer

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2019/2020
Sun, Nov 10, 2019
1 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Kehlen advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Kehlen
15%
Draws
57%
FC Mamer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Mamer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Mamer carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • FC Mamer arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Mamer, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Kehlen Clean Sheet 20%
FC Mamer Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kehlen FC Mamer
Matches Played 18 32
Wins 5 10
Draws 0 4
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.11 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.61 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2019 Luxembourg Cup
Kehlen vs FC Mamer
1:0
Oct 30, 2015 Luxembourg Cup
Kehlen vs FC Mamer
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kehlen 32 / 100
FC Mamer 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kehlen FC Mamer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Mamer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Mamer let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

FC Mamer lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Kehlen found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (18 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Mamer
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kehlen

(Home)
21 Sept
Kehlen
2 : 3
Ettelbruck
01 Oct
Kehlen
2 : 3
FC Rodange 91
02 Oct
Kehlen
0 : 6
Fola
31 Oct
Kehlen
0 : 4
Ettelbruck
03 Oct
Kehlen
1 : 0
Berdenia Berbourg
Page 1 of 4

FC Mamer

(Away)
20 Sept
Red Star Merl/Belair
0 : 4
FC Mamer
26 Jul
FC Rodange 91
4 : 0
FC Mamer
22 Jul
Dudelange
2 : 0
FC Mamer
21 Jul
FC Mamer
2 : 1
Harlange/Tarchamps
19 Jul
FC Mamer
1 : 2
Ettelbruck
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Luxembourg City 7
FC Residence Walferdange 0
The Belval Belvaux 0
Hesperange 6
Jeunesse Canach 6
Lintgen 0
Avenir Beggen 0
Ettelbruck 1
Esch 4
Harlange/Tarchamps 2
Koeppchen 1
Kaerjeng 4
Blo Weiss Itzig 5
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 2
Schifflange 1
Differdange 5
Wiltz 3
Berdenia Berbourg 2
FC Munsbach 3
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 6
Jeunesse Junglinster 5
Pratzerthal/Redange 1
FC Noertzange HF 0
Jeunesse Esch 4
Mertert/Wasserbillig 2
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Echternach 1
Dudelange 6
FC Rodange 91 3
Gasperich 0
Red Star Merl/Belair 0
Mondorf 4
Kehlen 2
CS Sanem 1
US Sandweiler 0
FC Mamer 4
Lorentzweiler 3
US Berdorf Consdorf 2
Union Remich/Bous 0
Progres Niedercorn 2
Bettembourg 3
Union Tetange 2
FC Schengen 4
Blo Weiss Medernach 5
Steinfort 2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Miniere Lasauvage 2
Victoria Rosport 6
Mondercange 3
SC Ell 0
FF Norden 0
Alisontia Steinsel 4
Union Titus Petange 7
Vinesca Ehnen 0
Grevenmacher 1
Fola 2
Racing Luxembourg 7
AS Luxembourg/Porto 0
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 1
Hostert 4
Rumelange 6
FC 47 Bastendorf 1
Red Boys Aspelt 1
UNA Strassen 3
1/16-finals
Luxembourg City 1
Hesperange 2
Jeunesse Canach 2
Ettelbruck 0
Esch 4
Kaerjeng 0
Blo Weiss Itzig 2
Differdange 4
Wiltz 2
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Jeunesse Junglinster 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
Dudelange 2
FC Rodange 91 1
Mondorf 3
Kehlen 1
FC Mamer 0
Lorentzweiler 0
Progres Niedercorn 5
Bettembourg 6
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
Steinfort 0
Victoria Rosport 2
Mondercange 4
Alisontia Steinsel 0
Union Titus Petange 1
Fola 2
Racing Luxembourg 5
Hostert 1
Rumelange 0
UNA Strassen 4
1/8-finals
Hesperange 5
Jeunesse Canach 0
Esch 0
Differdange 1
Wiltz 3
Jeunesse Esch 0
Dudelange 4
Mondorf 1
Kehlen 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Bettembourg 0
Victoria Rosport 3
Mondercange 2
Fola 1
Racing Luxembourg 5
UNA Strassen 1
Quarter-finals
Hesperange -
Differdange -
Wiltz -
Dudelange -
Progres Niedercorn -
Victoria Rosport -
Mondercange -
Racing Luxembourg -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -