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Kehlen vs Hostert

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Hostert advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Kehlen
20%
Draws
58%
Hostert
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hostert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hostert come out ahead of Kehlen on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hostert a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Hostert arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hostert, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Kehlen Clean Sheet 19%
Hostert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kehlen Hostert
Matches Played 18 31
Wins 5 13
Draws 0 4
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.11 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.61 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2013 Luxembourg Cup
Kehlen vs Hostert
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kehlen 10 / 100
Hostert 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kehlen Hostert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hostert Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hostert has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Kehlen found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (18 games).

Solid form: Kehlen remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hostert
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kehlen

(Home)
21 Sept
Kehlen
2 : 3
Ettelbruck
01 Oct
Kehlen
2 : 3
FC Rodange 91
02 Oct
Kehlen
0 : 6
Fola
31 Oct
Kehlen
0 : 4
Ettelbruck
03 Oct
Kehlen
1 : 0
Berdenia Berbourg
Page 1 of 4

Hostert

(Away)
20 Sept
Alisontia Steinsel
1 : 2
Hostert
16 Sept
Hostert
1 : 1
Jeunesse Esch
12 Sept
Hostert
0 : 0
Dudelange
05 Sept
Victoria Rosport
0 : 2
Hostert
30 Aug
Hostert
0 : 2
Differdange
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Jeunesse Esch -
TBD -
Koeppchen 1
CS Petange 3
Hostert 3
Kehlen 0
TBD -
Kaerjeng -
Luxembourg City -
TBD -
FC Residence Walferdange 4
Jeunesse Biwer 5
Hesperange -
TBD -
Esch 1
UNA Strassen 3
Racing Luxembourg -
TBD -
Berdenia Berbourg 0
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 2
Lintgen 3
Mondercange 2
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
Steinfort 3
Jeunesse Canach -
TBD -
Sporting Bertrange 1
Bissen 3
FF Norden 4
US Berdorf Consdorf 2
TBD -
Differdange -
Dudelange -
TBD -
US Feulen 3
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler 4
Erpeldange 6
CS Sanem 2
TBD -
Rumelange -
Ettelbruck -
TBD -
Oberkorn 0
Cebra 1
US Sandweiler 2
Lamadelaine 1
Lorentzweiler 0
FC Rodange 91 3
Grevenmacher -
TBD -
Harlange/Tarchamps 0
Union Tetange 3
Fola -
TBD -
FC Orania Vianden 0
Avenir Beggen 1
Wiltz -
TBD -
Alliance Aischdall 2
Victoria Rosport 6
Mondorf 6
FC Marisca Mersch 1
TBD -
Progres Niedercorn -
1/16-finals
Jeunesse Esch 2
CS Petange 1
Hostert 1
Kaerjeng 5
Luxembourg City 2
Jeunesse Biwer 0
Hesperange 1
UNA Strassen 5
Racing Luxembourg 4
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Lintgen 0
Steinfort 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Bissen 1
FF Norden 0
Differdange 4
Dudelange 7
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler 0
Erpeldange 1
Rumelange 3
Ettelbruck 4
Cebra 2
US Sandweiler 1
FC Rodange 91 2
Grevenmacher 2
Union Tetange 1
Fola 1
Avenir Beggen 2
Wiltz 3
Victoria Rosport 2
Mondorf 0
Progres Niedercorn 2
1/8-finals
Jeunesse Esch 3
Kaerjeng 1
Luxembourg City 1
UNA Strassen 2
Racing Luxembourg 3
Steinfort 0
Jeunesse Canach 3
Differdange 4
Dudelange 3
Rumelange 0
Ettelbruck 1
FC Rodange 91 3
Grevenmacher 6
Avenir Beggen 1
Wiltz 1
Progres Niedercorn 2
Quarter-finals
Jeunesse Esch 5
UNA Strassen 0
Racing Luxembourg 0
Differdange 1
Dudelange 2
FC Rodange 91 1
Grevenmacher 3
Progres Niedercorn 4
Semi-finals
Jeunesse Esch 0
Differdange 2
Dudelange 3
Progres Niedercorn 1
Final
Differdange 2
Dudelange 0