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Kehler vs Freiburger

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2015/2016
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2015/2016 game between Kehler and Freiburger finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Freiburger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Kehler
15%
Draws
36%
Freiburger
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kehler

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kehler come out ahead of Freiburger on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kehler's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kehler Clean Sheet 18%
Freiburger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kehler Freiburger
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2016 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Kehler vs Freiburger
1:5
Sep 26, 2015 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Freiburger vs Kehler
4:0
Apr 22, 2015 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Freiburger vs Kehler
1:3
Oct 11, 2014 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Kehler vs Freiburger
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kehler 85 / 100
Freiburger 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kehler Freiburger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kehler Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freiburger's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Kehler found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Freiburger registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Freiburger
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 3.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Kehler

(Home)
10 Jul
Kehler
1 : 7
Freiburg
21 May
Germania Friedrichstal
0 : 3
Kehler
14 May
Kehler
0 : 1
Balingen
11 May
Stutt. Kickers II
3 : 0
Kehler
06 May
Kehler
1 : 1
FC Nottingen
Page 1 of 6

Freiburger

(Away)
29 Jun
Bahlinger
4 : 0
Freiburger
04 Feb
Lorrach-Brombach
0 : 3
Freiburger
02 Feb
Karlsruher II
1 : 0
Freiburger
25 Jan
FC 08 Villingen
6 : 0
Freiburger
13 Jul
Freiburger
0 : 4
Bahlinger
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ulm 34 23 6 5 78:32 75
2 FC Nottingen 34 21 5 8 87:50 68
3 Bietigheim-Bissingen 34 20 3 11 58:38 63
4 Karlsruher II 34 19 4 11 60:39 61
5 1. CfR Pforzheim 34 16 6 12 58:39 54
6 Hollenbach 34 17 3 14 57:53 54
7 Oberachern 34 14 10 10 67:53 52
8 Balingen 34 15 6 13 49:39 51
9 Ravensburg 34 15 5 14 62:54 50
10 Sandhausen II 34 14 7 13 59:47 49
11 Reutlingen 34 12 7 15 57:54 43
12 Stutt. Kickers II 34 12 7 15 47:62 43
13 Freiburger 34 13 3 18 46:53 42
14 Kehler 34 12 6 16 41:51 42
15 Freiberg 34 11 8 15 47:63 41
16 FC 08 Villingen 34 11 8 15 45:67 41
17 Germania Friedrichstal 34 5 8 21 29:91 23
18 Pfullendorf 34 3 4 27 21:83 13
Promotion - Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2015/2016 (Promotion)