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Kei Lun vs Benfica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Macao Macao

Elite League 2014
Kei Lun Logo

Kei Lun

0 - 8
FT
Benfica Logo

Benfica

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Benfica in this Elite League 2014 matchup, with the score ending 0-8 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benfica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kei Lun
20%
Draws
44%
Benfica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Benfica lately — more wins on the board than Kei Lun.
  • Model gives Kei Lun a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Elite League 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Benfica here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Kei Lun Clean Sheet 17%
Benfica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kei Lun Benfica
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 2.03 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2017 Elite League
Benfica vs Kei Lun
2:0
Mar 19, 2017 Elite League
Kei Lun vs Benfica
0:4
Apr 17, 2016 Elite League
Benfica vs Kei Lun
2:0
Jan 31, 2016 Elite League
Kei Lun vs Benfica
0:7
May 25, 2014 Elite League
Kei Lun vs Benfica
0:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kei Lun 36 / 100
Benfica 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kei Lun Benfica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Kei Lun's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Benfica let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Kei Lun has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Benfica
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kei Lun

(Home)
02 Jul
Policia
0 : 4
Kei Lun
24 Jun
Benfica
2 : 0
Kei Lun
16 Jun
Sporting Macau
2 : 2
Kei Lun
26 May
Must IPO
2 : 1
Kei Lun
12 May
Kei Lun
2 : 2
Monte Carlo
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Benfica

(Away)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 16 13 2 1 63:5 41
2 Sporting Macau 16 12 2 2 41:11 38
3 Monte Carlo 16 11 3 2 56:19 36
4 Tak Chun Ka I 16 9 4 3 47:17 31
5 Policia 16 5 4 7 24:24 19
6 Must IPO 16 4 5 7 26:30 17
7 Lai Chi 16 4 1 11 26:52 13
8 Macau U23 16 3 0 13 10:63 9
9 Kei Lun 16 0 1 15 10:82 1
Promotion - Presidents Cup 2015 (Group Stage)