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Kei Lun vs Policia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Macao Macao

Elite League 2014
Kei Lun Logo

Kei Lun

0 - 6
FT
Policia Logo

Policia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2014 game between Kei Lun and Policia finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Policia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Kei Lun
30%
Draws
41%
Policia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Policia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Policia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kei Lun's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Kei Lun Clean Sheet 20%
Policia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kei Lun Policia
Matches Played 36 43
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 1.89 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2017 Elite League
Policia vs Kei Lun
0:4
Apr 7, 2017 Elite League
Kei Lun vs Policia
5:2
Apr 23, 2016 Elite League
Kei Lun vs Policia
0:3
Feb 3, 2016 Elite League
Policia vs Kei Lun
3:1
May 18, 2014 Elite League
Kei Lun vs Policia
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kei Lun 49 / 100
Policia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kei Lun Policia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kei Lun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Kei Lun's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Policia has conceded goals in 74% of their last 43 outings.

Kei Lun has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Policia
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kei Lun

(Home)
02 Jul
Policia
0 : 4
Kei Lun
24 Jun
Benfica
2 : 0
Kei Lun
16 Jun
Sporting Macau
2 : 2
Kei Lun
26 May
Must IPO
2 : 1
Kei Lun
12 May
Kei Lun
2 : 2
Monte Carlo
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Policia

(Away)
13 Nov
Policia
0 : 3
Lun Lok
31 Jul
Policia
2 : 2
Hang Sai
24 Jul
Policia
1 : 0
Cheng Fung
17 Jul
Monte Carlo
0 : 2
Policia
11 Jul
Policia
0 : 3
Benfica
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 16 13 2 1 63:5 41
2 Sporting Macau 16 12 2 2 41:11 38
3 Monte Carlo 16 11 3 2 56:19 36
4 Tak Chun Ka I 16 9 4 3 47:17 31
5 Policia 16 5 4 7 24:24 19
6 Must IPO 16 4 5 7 26:30 17
7 Lai Chi 16 4 1 11 26:52 13
8 Macau U23 16 3 0 13 10:63 9
9 Kei Lun 16 0 1 15 10:82 1
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