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Kei Lun vs Tak Chun Ka I

Macao Macao

Elite League 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2014 game between Kei Lun and Tak Chun Ka I finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tak Chun Ka I.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kei Lun
6%
Draws
4%
Tak Chun Ka I
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kei Lun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tak Chun Ka I come out ahead of Kei Lun on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kei Lun a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Elite League 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tak Chun Ka I have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Kei Lun Clean Sheet 20%
Tak Chun Ka I Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kei Lun Tak Chun Ka I
Matches Played 36 49
Wins 11 21
Draws 6 2
Losses 19 26
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 5.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2017 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Kei Lun
1:0
Feb 17, 2017 Elite League
Kei Lun vs Tak Chun Ka I
3:1
Mar 27, 2016 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Kei Lun
4:1
Jan 16, 2016 Elite League
Kei Lun vs Tak Chun Ka I
0:5
Jun 13, 2014 Elite League
Kei Lun vs Tak Chun Ka I
0:6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kei Lun 85 / 100
Tak Chun Ka I 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kei Lun Tak Chun Ka I

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Tak Chun Ka I lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Kei Lun's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tak Chun Ka I conceded in 78% of 49 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tak Chun Ka I
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 5.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benfica16132163:541
2Sporting Macau16122241:1138
3Monte Carlo16113256:1936
4Tak Chun Ka I1694347:1731
5Policia1654724:2419
6Must IPO1645726:3017
7Lai Chi16411126:5213
8Macau U2316301310:639
9Kei Lun16011510:821