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Keila JK vs Parnu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Esiliiga B 2019
Keila JK Logo

Keila JK

1 - 0
FT
Parnu Logo

Parnu

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2019 game between Keila JK and Parnu finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Keila JK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Keila JK
15%
Draws
0%
Parnu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keila JK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Keila JK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Keila JK's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Parnu have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Keila JK Clean Sheet 10%
Parnu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keila JK Parnu
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 2.69 1.74
Goals Conceded 3.28 2.44
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2019 Esiliiga B
Keila JK vs Parnu
1:0
Sep 1, 2019 Esiliiga B
Parnu vs Keila JK
4:2
Jun 26, 2019 Esiliiga B
Parnu vs Keila JK
6:0
Apr 14, 2019 Esiliiga B
Keila JK vs Parnu
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keila JK 83 / 100
Parnu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keila JK Parnu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keila JK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keila JK scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Parnu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Parnu registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Keila JK VS Parnu
3 Goals Scored 1.38
4 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Keila JK

(Home)
07 Oct
Levadia
10 : 0
Keila JK
19 Aug
Keila JK
3 : 2
Flora U19
22 Jul
TalTech JK
0 : 6
Keila JK
19 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus
9 : 0
Keila JK
06 Aug
Jarva-Jaani
1 : 4
Keila JK
Page 1 of 7

Parnu

(Away)
10 Nov
Kuressaare U21
3 : 1
Parnu
03 Nov
Parnu
1 : 10
Kalju U21
27 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
2 : 1
Parnu
24 Oct
Parnu
2 : 3
Tartu Kalev
20 Oct
Johvi Phoenix
6 : 3
Parnu
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nomme Utd 36 27 4 5 118:38 85
2 Vandra Vaprus 36 21 5 10 97:71 68
3 Parnu 36 19 5 12 82:53 62
4 Kalju U21 36 19 4 13 79:50 61
5 Viimsi JK 36 16 4 16 75:68 52
6 Keila JK 36 14 4 18 67:87 46
7 Tabasalu 36 13 4 19 77:79 43
8 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 11 6 19 61:87 39
9 Voru Helios 36 10 4 22 48:101 34
10 Pohja-Tallinna 36 9 2 25 53:123 29
Promotion - Esiliiga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2019 (Relegation)