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Keilor Park vs Essendon Royals

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Ryuta Y.

AI Match Summary

Keilor Park in this Victoria Premier League 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Keilor Park.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Keilor Park
44%
Draws
20%
Essendon Royals
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Keilor Park haven't matched Essendon Royals's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Victoria Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Keilor Park Clean Sheet 10%
Essendon Royals Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keilor Park Essendon Royals
Matches Played 21 22
Wins 11 13
Draws 1 2
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.5 3.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Keilor Park vs Essendon Royals
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keilor Park Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryuta Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Essendon Royals Compare

Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keilor Park 34 / 100
Essendon Royals 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keilor Park Essendon Royals

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Essendon Royals conceded in 86% of 22 recent games.

Keilor Park scored in 76% of their last 21 games.

Solid form: Keilor Park remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Keilor Park VS Essendon Royals
1.5 Goals Scored 3.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Keilor Park

(Home)
24 Jul
Keilor Park
0 : 1
Bayside Argonauts
18 Jul
Werribee City
1 : 3
Keilor Park
11 Jul
Keilor Park
1 : 0
Malvern City
03 Jul
Springvale
5 : 2
Keilor Park
26 Jun
Keilor Park
2 : 0
Moreland City
Page 1 of 5

Essendon Royals

(Away)
24 Jul
Essendon Royals
4 : 2
Kingston City
17 Jul
Whittlesea United
1 : 1
Essendon Royals
10 Jul
Essendon Royals
3 : 2
Box Hill
04 Jul
Bayside Argonauts
1 : 1
Essendon Royals
19 Jun
Essendon Royals
3 : 2
Werribee City
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Malvern City21151551:2446
2Goulburn Valley Suns20143346:2745
3Essendon Royals22132754:3341
4Bayside Argonauts21115540:2938
5Keilor Park21111929:2834
6Box Hill2196633:2633
7Whittlesea United2177732:2428
8Springvale2175925:3726
9Eastern Lions2167832:2825
10Nunawading City21741021:3425
11Werribee City21551127:3720
12Kingston City21621323:4720
13Altona City21371118:3116
14Moreland City19251220:4611
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