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Keilor Park vs Springvale

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
O'Halleron S.
24' Event
Ryuta Y.
36' Event
Kelly G.

AI Match Summary

Keilor Park in this Victoria Premier League 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Keilor Park.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Keilor Park
15%
Draws
39%
Springvale
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keilor Park

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Keilor Park lately — more wins on the board than Springvale.
  • Win probability leans Keilor Park's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Victoria Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Keilor Park Clean Sheet 14%
Springvale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keilor Park Springvale
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Springvale vs Keilor Park
5:2
Mar 20, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Keilor Park vs Springvale
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keilor Park Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Halleron S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ryuta Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Springvale Compare

Top Goalscorer Iguchi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keilor Park 57 / 100
Springvale 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keilor Park Springvale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keilor Park Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Keilor Park found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Springvale conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Keilor Park remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Keilor Park VS Springvale
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Keilor Park

(Home)
11 Sept
Essendon Royals
3 : 2
Keilor Park
29 Aug
Keilor Park
2 : 1
Altona City
21 Aug
Essendon Royals
1 : 4
Keilor Park
14 Aug
Keilor Park
3 : 3
Whittlesea United
08 Aug
Keilor Park
0 : 4
Goulburn Valley Suns
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Springvale

(Away)
29 Aug
Springvale
0 : 1
Bayside Argonauts
22 Aug
Werribee City
1 : 3
Springvale
14 Aug
Springvale
2 : 5
Malvern City
31 Jul
Kingston City
0 : 1
Springvale
25 Jul
Goulburn Valley Suns
2 : 1
Springvale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Goulburn Valley Suns 26 18 3 5 60:35 57
2 Malvern City 26 18 2 6 66:33 56
3 Bayside Argonauts 26 15 5 6 47:32 50
4 Essendon Royals 26 15 3 8 63:42 48
5 Keilor Park 26 14 2 10 39:37 44
6 Box Hill 26 11 7 8 37:32 40
7 Whittlesea United 26 9 10 7 49:32 37
8 Springvale 26 9 5 12 32:46 32
9 Eastern Lions 26 7 9 10 43:43 30
10 Kingston City 26 9 3 14 37:55 30
11 Nunawading City 26 8 5 13 29:44 29
12 Werribee City 26 6 6 14 37:50 24
13 Altona City 26 3 8 15 25:44 17
14 Moreland City 26 2 8 16 34:73 14
Promotion - Victoria Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Victoria Premier League 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)