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Keith vs Invergordon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Highland League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Keith host Invergordon in the Highland League. Keith are expected to control this from the start. Keith have averaged 1.82 scored and 1.46 conceded recently, against Invergordon's 1.25 scored and 3.19 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 3.00 vs 1.88, favoring Keith. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Keith
15%
Draws
28%
Invergordon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Keith come out ahead of Invergordon on wins alone.
  • Model gives Keith a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Highland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Keith Clean Sheet 10%
Invergordon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keith Invergordon
Matches Played 28 16
Wins 16 3
Draws 5 1
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.82 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.46 3.19
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keith 47 / 100
Invergordon 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keith Invergordon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keith Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keith scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Invergordon conceded in 88% of 16 recent games.

Invergordon's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Recent resilience: Keith stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Keith VS Invergordon
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 4.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Keith

(Home)
07 Oct
Keith
1 : 0
Turriff United
03 Oct
Keith
2 : 1
Stonehaven
26 Sept
Brora Rangers
5 : 0
Keith
19 Sept
Keith
2 : 3
Strathspey Thistle
16 Sept
Banks O' Dee
4 : 1
Keith
Page 1 of 6

Invergordon

(Away)
07 Oct
Inverurie Loco Works
1 : 0
Invergordon
03 Oct
Threave Rovers
3 : 2
Invergordon
26 Sept
Huntly
7 : 0
Invergordon
19 Sept
Invergordon
3 : 1
Turriff United
16 Sept
Brora Rangers
7 : 2
Invergordon
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brora Rangers 13 11 2 0 53:12 35
2 Inverurie Loco Works 14 8 5 1 28:18 29
3 Formartine Utd 13 7 4 2 25:17 25
4 Fraserburgh 12 7 3 2 27:11 24
5 Clachnacuddin 12 5 5 2 28:11 20
6 Strathspey Thistle 14 6 2 6 26:19 20
7 Forres Mechanics 13 6 2 5 23:20 20
8 Buckie Thistle 12 6 1 5 32:20 19
9 Banks O' Dee 13 5 4 4 29:27 19
10 Huntly 13 5 3 5 26:21 18
11 Nairn County 13 4 5 4 19:21 17
12 Lossiemouth 13 5 2 6 20:28 17
13 Turriff United 13 5 1 7 16:18 16
14 Keith 13 4 3 6 19:29 15
15 Deveronvale 13 3 3 7 17:22 12
16 Invergordon 13 3 1 9 15:36 10
17 Wick Academy 13 2 0 11 11:38 6
18 Rothes 12 1 0 11 9:55 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)