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Keith vs Lossiemouth

Scotland Scotland

Highland League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Highland League 2025/2026 game between Keith and Lossiemouth finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Keith.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Keith
15%
Draws
0%
Lossiemouth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Keith carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Keith's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Highland League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Keith Clean Sheet 13%
Lossiemouth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keith Lossiemouth
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.82 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Highland League
Keith vs Lossiemouth
2:2
Apr 4, 2026 Highland League
Keith vs Lossiemouth
5:0
Nov 1, 2025 Highland League
Lossiemouth vs Keith
0:2
Jan 25, 2025 Highland League
Lossiemouth vs Keith
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 Highland League
Keith vs Lossiemouth
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keith 48 / 100
Lossiemouth 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keith Lossiemouth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keith Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keith scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Lossiemouth let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Lossiemouth registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Keith VS Lossiemouth
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Keith

(Home)
26 Sept
Brora Rangers
5 : 0
Keith
19 Sept
Keith
2 : 3
Strathspey Thistle
16 Sept
Banks O' Dee
4 : 1
Keith
12 Sept
Keith
2 : 0
Deveronvale
05 Sept
Keith
3 : 2
Buckie Thistle
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Lossiemouth

(Away)
26 Sept
Lossiemouth
3 : 4
Wick Academy
19 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 0
Lossiemouth
16 Sept
Lossiemouth
0 : 2
Deveronvale
05 Sept
Clachnacuddin
4 : 0
Lossiemouth
29 Aug
Inverurie Loco Works
3 : 1
Lossiemouth
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brora Rangers 34 23 6 5 97:35 75
2 Brechin 34 23 5 6 78:23 74
3 Formartine Utd 34 20 11 3 65:27 71
4 Fraserburgh 34 21 5 8 75:39 68
5 Clachnacuddin 34 18 7 9 78:40 61
6 Banks O' Dee 34 16 10 8 58:35 58
7 Keith 34 17 7 10 52:47 58
8 Buckie Thistle 34 16 5 13 62:47 53
9 Nairn County 34 15 4 15 56:52 49
10 Turriff United 34 13 9 12 60:50 48
11 Huntly 34 11 10 13 46:43 43
12 Forres Mechanics 34 11 7 16 52:67 40
13 Strathspey Thistle 34 13 2 19 49:83 38
14 Deveronvale 34 11 4 19 46:87 37
15 Inverurie Loco Works 34 9 6 19 47:66 30
16 Wick Academy 34 7 7 20 42:65 28
17 Lossiemouth 34 4 5 25 20:76 17
18 Rothes 34 1 4 29 33:134 7
Promotion - Highland League 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)