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Kekava-Auda vs Marupe

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Zarovs N.
55' Event
Zarovs N.
82'
Burcevs T.

AI Match Summary

The Latvian Cup 2025 game between Kekava-Auda and Marupe finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kekava-Auda
33%
Draws
27%
Marupe
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Kekava-Auda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marupe come out ahead of Kekava-Auda on wins alone.
  • Kekava-Auda are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Cup games in Latvian Cup 2025 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Kekava-Auda Clean Sheet 20%
Marupe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kekava-Auda Marupe
Matches Played 10 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 0 2
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 3 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2025 Latvian Cup
Kekava-Auda vs Marupe
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kekava-Auda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Zarovs N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Korsaks K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kekava-Auda 40 / 100
Marupe 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kekava-Auda Marupe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KEK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kekava-Auda found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (10 games).

Marupe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Marupe has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kekava-Auda VS Marupe
1 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Jelgava-
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RFS-
Speks-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Alberts-
Riga United-
TBD-
TBD-
SK Babite-
Iecava-
TBD-
TBD-
Kekava-Auda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Marupe-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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FK Metta-
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Grobina-
Livani-
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JFC Viola-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Skanste-
Alberts JDFS-
TBD-
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FK Smiltene-
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Super Nova-
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Tukums 2000-
Kuivizu Spartaks-
TBD-
TBD-
Upesciema Warriors-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga Mariners-
Valmiera8
FK Limbazi0
TBD-
FK Cesis-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ogre United-
Plavinas-
TBD-
TBD-
Namejs-
Rigas Futbola Skola-
TBD-
TBD-
Bauskas / Memele-
AFA Olaine-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Augsdaugavas-
RSU-
TBD-
TBD-
LSPA-
Kuldigas/Goldingen-
TBD-
TBD-
Salaspils FK-
Dienvidkurzemes-
TBD-
TBD-
DSVK Traktors-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Leevon PPK-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
FK Union / JFK Daugava-
TBD-
TBD-
Lielupe-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rezekne-
Talsi1
Aliance5
TBD-
Valka-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
JFK Ventspils-
TBD-
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FK Liepaja-
1/64-finals
Jelgava-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
RFS-
Speks4
FK Alberts3
Riga United6
SK Babite0
Iecava1
Kekava-Auda2
TBD-
Marupe-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Metta-
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Livani4
JFC Viola0
TBD-
Skanste-
Alberts JDFS-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Smiltene-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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Super Nova-
Riga FC-
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Tukums 2000-
Kuivizu Spartaks0
Upesciema Warriors5
TBD-
Riga Mariners-
Valmiera6
FK Cesis0
TBD-
Ogre United-
Plavinas4
Namejs0
Rigas Futbola Skola8
Bauskas / Memele0
AFA Olaine-
TBD-
TBD-
Augsdaugavas-
RSU5
LSPA1
Kuldigas/Goldingen2
Salaspils FK3
Dienvidkurzemes3
DSVK Traktors0
TBD-
Leevon PPK-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
FK Union / JFK Daugava5
Lielupe0
TBD-
Rezekne-
Aliance9
Valka1
TBD-
JFK Ventspils-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
1/32-finals
Jelgava-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
RFS-
Speks0
Riga United3
Kekava-Auda0
Marupe3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Metta-
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Livani0
Skanste5
Alberts JDFS5
FK Smiltene3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Super Nova-
Riga FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tukums 2000-
Upesciema Warriors0
Riga Mariners3
Valmiera4
Ogre United3
Plavinas3
Rigas Futbola Skola2
AFA Olaine3
Augsdaugavas1
RSU0
Salaspils FK6
Dienvidkurzemes1
Leevon PPK2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
FK Union / JFK Daugava4
Rezekne0
Aliance0
JFK Ventspils6
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
1/16-finals
Jelgava-
TBD-
TBD-
RFS-
Riga United0
Marupe3
TBD-
FK Metta-
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Skanste1
Alberts JDFS2
TBD-
Super Nova-
Riga FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Tukums 2000-
Riga Mariners4
Valmiera3
Plavinas3
AFA Olaine5
Salaspils FK4
Leevon PPK5
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
FK Union / JFK Daugava1
JFK Ventspils3
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
1/8-finals
Jelgava0
RFS1
Marupe1
FK Metta4
FK Auda Riga1
Grobina0
Alberts JDFS1
Super Nova3
Riga FC4
Tukums 20000
Riga Mariners6
AFA Olaine1
Leevon PPK2
BFC Daugavpils4
JFK Ventspils0
FK Liepaja2
Quarter-finals
RFS3
FK Metta2
FK Auda Riga3
Super Nova1
Riga FC10
Riga Mariners0
BFC Daugavpils1
FK Liepaja2
Semi-finals
RFS0
FK Auda Riga2
Riga FC4
FK Liepaja0
Final
FK Auda Riga2
Riga FC1