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Kekava-Auda vs Marupe

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2025
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Match Events

45' Event
Zarovs N.
55' Event
Zarovs N.
82'
Burcevs T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Marupe advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Kekava-Auda
15%
Draws
42%
Marupe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kekava-Auda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marupe come out ahead of Kekava-Auda on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Marupe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Marupe, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kekava-Auda Clean Sheet 20%
Marupe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kekava-Auda Marupe
Matches Played 10 31
Wins 5 14
Draws 0 2
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2.5 1.74
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2025 Latvian Cup
Kekava-Auda vs Marupe
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kekava-Auda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Zarovs N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Korsaks K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kekava-Auda 32 / 100
Marupe 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kekava-Auda Marupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kekava-Auda's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 10 recent games.

Defensive concern: Marupe conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Marupe lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kekava-Auda VS Marupe
1 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kekava-Auda

(Home)
20 Jun
FK Metta
5 : 0
Kekava-Auda
30 May
Kekava-Auda
2 : 1
Rezekne
31 May
Kekava-Auda
0 : 3
Marupe
18 May
Iecava
1 : 2
Kekava-Auda
22 Jun
Kekava-Auda
3 : 4
Alberts JDFS
Page 1 of 2

Marupe

(Away)
12 Sept
Marupe
5 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
08 Aug
Marupe
0 : 1
Leevon PPK
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
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RFS -
Speks -
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FK Alberts -
Riga United -
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SK Babite -
Iecava -
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Kekava-Auda -
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Marupe -
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Grobina -
Livani -
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JFC Viola -
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Skanste -
Alberts JDFS -
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FK Smiltene -
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Super Nova -
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Tukums 2000 -
Kuivizu Spartaks -
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Upesciema Warriors -
TBD -
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Riga Mariners -
Valmiera 8
FK Limbazi 0
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FK Cesis -
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Ogre United -
Plavinas -
TBD -
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Namejs -
Rigas Futbola Skola -
TBD -
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Bauskas / Memele -
AFA Olaine -
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Augsdaugavas -
RSU -
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LSPA -
Kuldigas/Goldingen -
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Salaspils FK -
Dienvidkurzemes -
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DSVK Traktors -
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Leevon PPK -
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BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava -
TBD -
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Lielupe -
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Rezekne -
Talsi 1
Aliance 5
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Valka -
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JFK Ventspils -
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FK Liepaja -
1/64-finals
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Speks 4
FK Alberts 3
Riga United 6
SK Babite 0
Iecava 1
Kekava-Auda 2
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Marupe -
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FK Metta -
FK Auda Riga -
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Grobina -
Livani 4
JFC Viola 0
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Skanste -
Alberts JDFS -
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FK Smiltene -
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Super Nova -
Riga FC -
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Tukums 2000 -
Kuivizu Spartaks 0
Upesciema Warriors 5
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Riga Mariners -
Valmiera 6
FK Cesis 0
TBD -
Ogre United -
Plavinas 4
Namejs 0
Rigas Futbola Skola 8
Bauskas / Memele 0
AFA Olaine -
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Augsdaugavas -
RSU 5
LSPA 1
Kuldigas/Goldingen 2
Salaspils FK 3
Dienvidkurzemes 3
DSVK Traktors 0
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Leevon PPK -
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BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava 5
Lielupe 0
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Rezekne -
Aliance 9
Valka 1
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JFK Ventspils -
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FK Liepaja -
1/32-finals
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Speks 0
Riga United 3
Kekava-Auda 0
Marupe 3
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FK Metta -
FK Auda Riga -
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Grobina -
Livani 0
Skanste 5
Alberts JDFS 5
FK Smiltene 3
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Super Nova -
Riga FC -
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Tukums 2000 -
Upesciema Warriors 0
Riga Mariners 3
Valmiera 4
Ogre United 3
Plavinas 3
Rigas Futbola Skola 2
AFA Olaine 3
Augsdaugavas 1
RSU 0
Salaspils FK 6
Dienvidkurzemes 1
Leevon PPK 2
TBD -
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BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava 4
Rezekne 0
Aliance 0
JFK Ventspils 6
TBD -
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FK Liepaja -
1/16-finals
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Riga United 0
Marupe 3
TBD -
FK Metta -
FK Auda Riga -
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TBD -
Grobina -
Skanste 1
Alberts JDFS 2
TBD -
Super Nova -
Riga FC -
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Tukums 2000 -
Riga Mariners 4
Valmiera 3
Plavinas 3
AFA Olaine 5
Salaspils FK 4
Leevon PPK 5
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava 1
JFK Ventspils 3
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/8-finals
Jelgava 0
RFS 1
Marupe 1
FK Metta 4
FK Auda Riga 1
Grobina 0
Alberts JDFS 1
Super Nova 3
Riga FC 4
Tukums 2000 0
Riga Mariners 6
AFA Olaine 1
Leevon PPK 2
BFC Daugavpils 4
JFK Ventspils 0
FK Liepaja 2
Quarter-finals
RFS 3
FK Metta 2
FK Auda Riga 3
Super Nova 1
Riga FC 10
Riga Mariners 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
FK Liepaja 2
Semi-finals
RFS 0
FK Auda Riga 2
Riga FC 4
FK Liepaja 0
Final
FK Auda Riga 2
Riga FC 1