Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kelen vs Honved

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup 2024/2025 Hunyadi Matyas utcai Stadion, Budapest
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Kami B.
Own Goal
20' Event
Medgyes Z.
33' Event
Pauljevic B.

AI Match Summary

Honved in this Hungarian Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Kelen
30%
Draws
18%
Honved
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kelen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

18% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Honved lately — more wins on the board than Kelen.
  • Model gives Honved a 18% chance of winning this.
  • Honved arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Honved, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Kelen Clean Sheet 10%
Honved Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kelen Honved
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 17
Draws 3 6
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0.87 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.17 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2024 Hungarian Cup
Kelen vs Honved
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kelen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Honved Compare

Top Goalscorer Medgyes Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pauljevic B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kelen 10 / 100
Honved 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kelen Honved

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Honved Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Kelen's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Honved has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Kelen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kelen VS Honved
1 Goals Scored 1.13
10 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kelen

(Home)
20 Jun
Kelen
1 : 10
Paks
29 Oct
Kelen
0 : 1
Kazincbarcika
14 Sept
Kelen
3 : 2
Tarpa
23 Aug
Kelen
1 : 0
Dunaujvaros
03 Aug
Villanyi
1 : 2
Kelen
Page 1 of 6

Honved

(Away)
14 Aug
Honved
1 : 2
Vasas
09 Aug
Paks
2 : 2
Honved
01 Aug
Honved
3 : 3
MTK Budapest
25 Jul
Kisvarda FC
1 : 1
Honved
18 Jul
Osijek
2 : 1
Honved
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Sarvari FC 1
Zalalovoi 0
Vitnyed 0
Balatonfuredi 3
Babolnai 1
Sopron 16
VSC Veszprem 1
Komaromi VSE 0
Diosjeno 1
MVSC 4
Eger 2
Senyo 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soroksar -
Rabatotfalui 0
Zalaszentgroti 6
Balatonalmadi 3
Haladas 0
Gyorszentivan 2
Papai Perutz 4
Kiraly SE 0
Mori SE 1
Nagybajom 2
Mohacsi 3
III. Keruleti TVE 3
Bicskei 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Csakvari -
Bekescsaba 1912 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Debrecen -
Peti 1
Kelen 2
Himeshaza 0
Szekszardi 12
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Honved -
Szakonyfalu 0
Mezoors 22
Sopte 0
Abda 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paks -
Jaszfenyszarui 5
Baktaloranthaza 0
Hehalom 0
Karcagi 4
Faddi 3
Diosdi TC 0
Dunaujvaros 3
Unione 1
Kozarmisleny SE -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kecskemeti TE -
Pecsvarad 0
Somogysard 3
Kakasd 0
Pecsi MFC 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Szentlorinc SE -
Maklar 1
Ujfeherto 3
Gesztely 0
Hatvan FC 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
Bonyhad 0
PTE-PEAC 1
Nagykanizsa FC 1
Gardony Varosi 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajka -
Vasas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
Testveriseg 1
Algyo SK 0
OMTK-ULE 1
Tiszafoldvar 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tatabanya -
Ustokos Bacsa 0
Koronco 4
Nyergesujfalu 0
Haladas VSE 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Hajdunanas 0
Salgotarjani BTC 1
Vizslasi 0
Putnok VSE 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyor -
Urkut 2
Csesztreg 4
Teskand 2
Mosonmagyarovari TE 9
Sarbogard 1
Budaorsi SC 2
Harkany SE 1
Majosi 5
Inter 04 2
Patka 4
Viadukt SE Biatorbagy 0
Kaposvar 2
Karancslapujto 2
Hajdusamsoni 1
Hidasnemeti 0
Tiszafuredi 19
Budafoki MTE -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Nyiradony 2
Godollo 3
Tallya 0
Cigand SE 3
Bakonycsernye 1
Sarisapi Banyasz 0
Tihanyi 2
Csornai 3
Nagyatadi 3
Siofok 0
Erdi 2
Dunafoldvar 0
Bode 0
Vep VSE 6
Labatlani 0
Dorogi FC 5
Sarospataki TC 1
Monostorpalyi 5
Lorinci 0
Debreceni EAC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Femalk-Dunavarsany 2
Gyulai Termal 1
Cegledi 1
Csepel 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ujpest -
1908 SZAC KSE 5
Torokszentmiklos 0
Pilisi 1
Martfui LSE 3
Kalocsai FC 0
Tiszasziget 2
FC Dabas 0
ESMTK Budapest 2
Szegedi 0
BKV Elore 2
Gyomaendrodi 0
Dunaharaszti MTK 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
Szajol 0
Szolnoki MAV 4
Monori 1
Penzugyor SE 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Videoton -
Kazincbarcika -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DVTK -
Gyongyosi 0
Fuzesabony 2
Borsod SK 1
Tiszaujvaros 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Mezomegyer 4
Lajosmizsei 2
REAC 0
Hodmezovasarhely 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
Nagyecsed 0
Tarpa 1
Nyirbator 0
Mateszalkai MTK 4
Harta SE 6
Fuzesgyarmati 0
Janoshalmi 4
Kunbaja 0
Marcali 2
Ercsi 3
Bolyi 1
Ivancsa 4
Duna SK 3
Korosladany MSK 0
Sandorfalvi 2
Tiszakecske 4
1/64-finals
Sarvari FC 1
Balatonfuredi 0
Sopron 2
VSC Veszprem 1
MVSC 2
Eger 3
TBD -
Soroksar -
Zalaszentgroti 0
Balatonalmadi 1
Papai Perutz 5
Mori SE 2
Mohacsi 0
III. Keruleti TVE 3
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
TBD -
TBD -
Csakvari -
Bekescsaba 1912 -
TBD -
TBD -
Debrecen -
Kelen 2
Szekszardi 0
TBD -
Honved -
Mezoors 2
Abda 0
TBD -
Paks -
Jaszfenyszarui 0
Karcagi 4
Faddi 1
Dunaujvaros 11
Kozarmisleny SE -
TBD -
TBD -
Kecskemeti TE -
Somogysard 1
Pecsi MFC 9
TBD -
Szentlorinc SE -
Ujfeherto 0
Hatvan FC 3
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
PTE-PEAC 1
Nagykanizsa FC 2
TBD -
Ajka -
Vasas -
TBD -
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
Testveriseg 1
Tiszafoldvar 0
TBD -
Tatabanya -
Koronco 2
Haladas VSE 4
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Salgotarjani BTC 0
Putnok VSE 1
TBD -
Gyor -
Csesztreg 1
Mosonmagyarovari TE 2
Budaorsi SC 3
Majosi 2
Patka 2
Kaposvar 9
Karancslapujto 1
Tiszafuredi 4
Budafoki MTE -
TBD -
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Godollo 1
Cigand SE 0
Bakonycsernye 1
Csornai 9
Nagyatadi 1
Erdi 3
Vep VSE 1
Dorogi FC 3
Monostorpalyi 0
Debreceni EAC 3
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Femalk-Dunavarsany 4
Csepel 2
TBD -
Ujpest -
1908 SZAC KSE 2
Martfui LSE 1
Tiszasziget 1
ESMTK Budapest 2
BKV Elore 5
Dunaharaszti MTK 0
TBD -
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
Szolnoki MAV 2
Monori 3
TBD -
Videoton -
Kazincbarcika -
TBD -
TBD -
DVTK -
Fuzesabony 1
Tiszaujvaros 0
TBD -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Mezomegyer 1
Hodmezovasarhely 4
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
Tarpa 2
Mateszalkai MTK 1
Harta SE 3
Janoshalmi 2
Ercsi 2
Ivancsa 7
Duna SK 0
Tiszakecske 15
1/32-finals
Sarvari FC 0
Sopron 2
Eger 0
Soroksar 4
Balatonalmadi 1
Papai Perutz 0
III. Keruleti TVE 0
Kisvarda FC 1
Mezokovesd-Zsory 3
Csakvari 1
Bekescsaba 1912 0
Debrecen 4
Kelen 1
Honved 5
Mezoors 0
Paks 3
Karcagi 6
Dunaujvaros 0
Kozarmisleny SE 0
Kecskemeti TE 4
Pecsi MFC 3
Szentlorinc SE 4
Hatvan FC 0
Zalaegerszegi 4
Nagykanizsa FC 2
Ajka 3
Vasas 1
Nyiregyhaza 2
Testveriseg 0
Tatabanya 2
Haladas VSE 0
Puskas Academy 7
Putnok VSE 2
Gyor 6
Mosonmagyarovari TE 3
Budaorsi SC 2
Kaposvar 1
Tiszafuredi 2
Budafoki MTE 0
Ferencvaros 3
Godollo 2
Csornai 1
Erdi 0
Dorogi FC 1
Debreceni EAC 0
BVSC-Zuglo 2
Femalk-Dunavarsany 0
Ujpest 7
1908 SZAC KSE 1
ESMTK Budapest 2
BKV Elore 1
Gyirmot FC Gyor 5
Monori 0
Videoton 2
Kazincbarcika 2
DVTK 4
Fuzesabony 1
Szeged-Csanad GA 2
Hodmezovasarhely 0
MTK Budapest 2
Tarpa 5
Harta SE 0
Ivancsa 4
Tiszakecske 0
1/16-finals
Sopron 3
Soroksar 2
Balatonalmadi 0
Kisvarda FC 4
Mezokovesd-Zsory 1
Debrecen 0
Honved 1
Paks 5
Karcagi 1
Kecskemeti TE 0
Szentlorinc SE 1
Zalaegerszegi 2
Ajka 3
Nyiregyhaza 4
Tatabanya 2
Puskas Academy 3
Gyor 3
Mosonmagyarovari TE 0
Tiszafuredi 1
Ferencvaros 2
Godollo 1
Dorogi FC 2
BVSC-Zuglo 0
Ujpest 1
ESMTK Budapest 1
Gyirmot FC Gyor 3
Videoton 2
DVTK 1
Szeged-Csanad GA 0
MTK Budapest 3
Tarpa 0
Ivancsa 5
1/8-finals
Sopron 0
Kisvarda FC 3
Mezokovesd-Zsory 0
Paks 3
Karcagi 1
Zalaegerszegi 2
Nyiregyhaza 1
Puskas Academy 0
Gyor 3
Ferencvaros 4
Dorogi FC 0
Ujpest 1
Gyirmot FC Gyor 0
Videoton 2
MTK Budapest 2
Ivancsa 0
Quarter-finals
Kisvarda FC 0
Paks 1
Zalaegerszegi 2
Nyiregyhaza 0
Ferencvaros 3
Ujpest 1
Videoton 2
MTK Budapest 4
Semi-finals
Paks 2
Zalaegerszegi 1
Ferencvaros 3
MTK Budapest 1
Final
Paks 2
Ferencvaros 1