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Kelty Hearts vs Annan Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

League Two New Central Park, Kelty
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Watson K.
15' Event
Murray I.
Assist: Moffett F.
31'
Sub
Moffett F. In: Cunningham R.
Out: Moffett F.

AI Match Summary

Kelty Hearts in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kelty Hearts.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Kelty Hearts
15%
Draws
53%
Annan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Annan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Kelty Hearts have won more games recently than Annan.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 10%
Annan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kelty Hearts Annan
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 2 4
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.43 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 League Two
Kelty Hearts vs Annan
2:1
Aug 12, 2025 Challenge Cup
Kelty Hearts vs Annan
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 League One
Annan vs Kelty Hearts
2:1
Feb 1, 2025 League One
Kelty Hearts vs Annan
1:3
Nov 16, 2024 League One
Annan vs Kelty Hearts
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kelty Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Murray I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lawson N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Annan Compare

Top Goalscorer Muir T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kelty Hearts 30 / 100
Annan 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kelty Hearts Annan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kelty Hearts scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Annan conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Kelty Hearts remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kelty Hearts VS Annan
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kelty Hearts

(Home)
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Montrose
22 Sept
Kelty Hearts
3 : 5
Hearts B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3
Edinburgh City
12 Sept
Clyde
4 : 1
Kelty Hearts
08 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
0 : 3
Kelty Hearts
Page 1 of 6

Annan

(Away)
26 Sept
Annan
2 : 1
Hibernian B
22 Sept
Queen of the South
1 : 1
Annan
19 Sept
Forfar Athletic
1 : 0
Annan
12 Sept
Annan
2 : 0
Elgin City
08 Sept
Annan
4 : 0
Motherwell B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clyde 8 5 2 1 19:10 17
2 Stranraer 8 5 1 2 17:8 16
3 Spartans 8 3 3 2 19:15 12
4 Elgin City 8 3 2 3 19:14 11
5 Forfar Athletic 8 3 2 3 8:13 11
6 Edinburgh City 8 4 2 2 19:15 9
7 Annan 8 3 0 5 9:10 9
8 Dumbarton 8 3 0 5 8:14 9
9 Kelty Hearts 8 3 0 5 11:18 9
10 Stirling 8 1 2 5 10:22 5
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)