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Kelty Hearts vs Brora Rangers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Cup New Central Park, Kelty
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Shanley R.
Assist: Corr D.
21'
Shanley R.
29' Event
Wallace J.
Assist: Gardiner B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Kelty Hearts
15%
Draws
61%
Brora Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brora Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brora Rangers lately — more wins on the board than Kelty Hearts.
  • Brora Rangers are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Brora Rangers arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kelty Hearts, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • Kelty Hearts have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 10%
Brora Rangers Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kelty Hearts Brora Rangers
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 12 19
Draws 1 6
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.52 2.81
Goals Conceded 2 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 3.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 League Cup
Kelty Hearts vs Brora Rangers
3:2
Jul 15, 2025 League Cup
Brora Rangers vs Kelty Hearts
0:4
May 8, 2021 League Two
Kelty Hearts vs Brora Rangers
4:1
May 4, 2021 League Two
Brora Rangers vs Kelty Hearts
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kelty Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Shanley R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Moffett F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Brora Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Wallace J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bunce C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.35
Avg xA / game 2.05

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kelty Hearts 10 / 100
Brora Rangers 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kelty Hearts Brora Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brora Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Kelty Hearts's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Brora Rangers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Kelty Hearts stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kelty Hearts VS Brora Rangers
1.75 Goals Scored 4.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kelty Hearts

(Home)
03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Kelty Hearts
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Montrose
22 Sept
Kelty Hearts
3 : 5
Hearts B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3
Edinburgh City
12 Sept
Clyde
4 : 1
Kelty Hearts
Page 1 of 6

Brora Rangers

(Away)
07 Oct
Forres Mechanics
2 : 5
Brora Rangers
03 Oct
Rothes
0 : 9
Brora Rangers
26 Sept
Brora Rangers
5 : 0
Keith
19 Sept
Rothes
0 : 8
Brora Rangers
16 Sept
Brora Rangers
7 : 2
Invergordon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aberdeen 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
2 Queen's Park 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Kelty Hearts 4 2 0 2 4:8 5
4 Queen of the South 4 1 0 3 6:8 4
5 Brora Rangers 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dundee Utd 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
2 Montrose 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
3 Arbroath 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
4 Stirling 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Spartans 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Mirren 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
2 Dunfermline 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 East Kilbride 4 2 0 2 13:10 6
4 Dumbarton 4 1 0 3 6:13 3
5 Cove Rangers 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 4 4 0 0 11:3 11
2 Dundee FC 4 3 0 1 14:3 10
3 Clyde 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
4 Airdrieonians 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
5 Annan 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 4 4 0 0 6:3 10
2 Partick 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
3 Livingston 4 2 0 2 11:1 8
4 Forfar Athletic 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Brechin 4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 4 4 0 0 5:1 11
2 East Fife 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 St Johnstone 4 2 0 2 6:2 7
4 Linlithgow Rose 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
5 Morton 4 0 0 4 0:7 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ayr 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
2 Falkirk 4 2 0 2 9:2 7
3 Edinburgh City 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
4 Alloa 4 2 0 2 4:9 4
5 Stranraer 4 0 0 4 4:10 1
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilmarnock 4 3 0 1 2:0 9
2 Hamilton 4 3 0 1 7:2 8
3 Raith 4 2 0 2 5:2 8
4 Peterhead 4 2 0 2 3:3 5
5 Elgin City 4 0 0 4 2:12 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams