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Stadium Background

Kelty Hearts vs Dunfermline

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Gilmour C.
54'
Sub
Flatman C. In: Corr D.
Out: Flatman C.
65' Event
Bray K.

AI Match Summary

Dunfermline in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dunfermline.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Kelty Hearts
15%
Draws
46%
Dunfermline
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dunfermline

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Dunfermline have won more games recently than Kelty Hearts.
  • Model gives Kelty Hearts a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dunfermline have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 16%
Dunfermline Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kelty Hearts Dunfermline
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.29 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Kelty Hearts vs Dunfermline
0:3
Feb 7, 2026 Scottish Cup
Dunfermline vs Kelty Hearts
2:0
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Kelty Hearts vs Dunfermline
1:3
Oct 12, 2024 Challenge Cup
Dunfermline vs Kelty Hearts
2:1
Apr 1, 2023 League One
Dunfermline vs Kelty Hearts
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kelty Hearts Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Dunfermline Compare

Top Goalscorer Bray K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gilmour C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kelty Hearts 36 / 100
Dunfermline 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kelty Hearts Dunfermline

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kelty Hearts's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Dunfermline has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Kelty Hearts has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kelty Hearts VS Dunfermline
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kelty Hearts

(Home)
12 Sept
Clyde
4 : 1
Kelty Hearts
08 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
0 : 3
Kelty Hearts
05 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Annan
29 Aug
Stranraer
2 : 0
Kelty Hearts
25 Aug
Kelty Hearts
2 : 4
Clydebank FC
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Dunfermline

(Away)
12 Sept
Dunfermline
2 : 0
Queen's Park
05 Sept
Arbroath
1 : 1
Dunfermline
28 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 0
Raith
22 Aug
Livingston
2 : 0
Dunfermline
15 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 2
Ross County
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