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Kelty Hearts vs Hearts B Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup New Central Park, Kelty
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Donkor J.
17' Event
Stevenson G.
30' Event
Donkor J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-5. The second leg ended 3-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Kelty Hearts
15%
Draws
51%
Hearts B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hearts B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kelty Hearts come out ahead of Hearts B on wins alone.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Kelty Hearts have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hearts B, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Hearts B here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 35%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 10%
Hearts B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kelty Hearts Hearts B
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 2 3
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.37 1.45
Goals Conceded 2 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.20 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Challenge Cup
Kelty Hearts vs Hearts B
3:5
Nov 11, 2025 Challenge Cup
Kelty Hearts vs Hearts B
0:1
Jul 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Kelty Hearts vs Hearts B
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kelty Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Murray I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Walker G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.1

Hearts B Compare

Top Goalscorer Donkor J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Stevenson G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kelty Hearts 30 / 100
Hearts B 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kelty Hearts Hearts B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hearts B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hearts B let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.33 goals.

Kelty Hearts scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Kelty Hearts stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kelty Hearts VS Hearts B
2 Goals Scored 3
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.4
88% Over 1.5 80%
88% Over 2.5 80%
75% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Kelty Hearts

(Home)
22 Sept
Kelty Hearts
3 : 5
Hearts B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3
Edinburgh City
12 Sept
Clyde
4 : 1
Kelty Hearts
08 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
0 : 3
Kelty Hearts
05 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Annan
Page 1 of 6

Hearts B

(Away)
22 Sept
Kelty Hearts
3 : 5
Hearts B
08 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 6
Hearts B
25 Aug
Spartans
5 : 0
Hearts B
11 Aug
Berwick
3 : 4
Hearts B
18 Apr
Cowdenbeath
3 : 0
Hearts B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)