Sport Picks
Kelty Hearts vs Montrose - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Challenge Cup New Central Park, Kelty 
Match Events
25'
25'
Loudon E.
Assist: Oliver G.
44'
44'
Cunningham R.
Assist: Walker G.
77'
77'
Walker G.
Assist: Hislop J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kelty Hearts
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Montrose come out ahead of Kelty Hearts on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Montrose arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Kelty Hearts, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 10%
Montrose Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kelty Hearts | Montrose |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Challenge Cup
Kelty Hearts vs Montrose
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 League One
Kelty Hearts vs Montrose
3:1
Mar 3, 2026 League One
Montrose vs Kelty Hearts
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 League One
Kelty Hearts vs Montrose
0:3
Aug 9, 2025 League One
Montrose vs Kelty Hearts
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kelty Hearts Compare
Top Goalscorer Cunningham R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Walker G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Montrose Compare
Top Goalscorer Loudon E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kelty Hearts 30 / 100
Montrose 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kelty Hearts Montrose
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Montrose Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Kelty Hearts scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Montrose has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Montrose lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kelty Hearts VS Montrose
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Kelty Hearts
(Home) 03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2 Kelty Hearts
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1 Montrose
22 Sept
Kelty Hearts
3 : 5 Hearts B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3 Edinburgh City
12 Sept
Clyde
4 : 1 Kelty Hearts
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1 Montrose
22 Sept
Kelty Hearts
3 : 5 Hearts B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3 Edinburgh City
05 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1 Annan
25 Aug
Kelty Hearts
2 : 4 Clydebank FC
Page 1 of 4
Montrose
(Away) 03 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 Montrose
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1 Montrose
22 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2 Montrose
19 Sept
East Fife
1 : 2 Montrose
12 Sept
Montrose
2 : 1 Cove Rangers
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 Montrose
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1 Montrose
22 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2 Montrose
19 Sept
East Fife
1 : 2 Montrose
05 Sept
Peterhead
0 : 3 Montrose
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clydebank FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Ross County | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Airdrieonians | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Elgin City | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 12 |
| 5 | Cove Rangers | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Peterhead | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 7 | Alloa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Queen of the South | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 11 |
| 9 | East Kilbride | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17:12 | 10 |
| 10 | Stirling | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 11 | Edinburgh City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 12 | St. Mirren B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:8 | 9 |
| 13 | Hamilton | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 14 | Montrose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 15 | Celtic B | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15:12 | 9 |
| 16 | Formartine Utd | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 17 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:13 | 9 |
| 18 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 19 | Hearts B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:26 | 9 |
| 20 | Annan | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 21 | Spartans | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 22 | Aberdeen B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 7 |
| 23 | East Fife | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 7 |
| 24 | Forfar Athletic | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 25 | Berwick | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 26 | Dumbarton | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 27 | Stranraer | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13:12 | 6 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 6 |
| 29 | Clachnacuddin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | 4 |
| 30 | Kilmarnock B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 31 | Banks O' Dee | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | 4 |
| 32 | Fraserburgh | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:18 | 4 |
| 33 | Clyde | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:14 | 3 |
| 34 | Dundee Utd B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 35 | Cumbernauld Colts | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:13 | 2 |
| 36 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:15 | 2 |
| 37 | Cowdenbeath | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | 0 |
| 38 | Dundee FC B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | 0 |
| 39 | Hibernian B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:12 | 0 |
| 40 | Motherwell B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:18 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)
