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Kelty Hearts vs St. Mirren B

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup New Central Park
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Douglas L.
24' Event
Diack R.
Assist: McInally D.
77' Event
Diack R.
Assist: Brydon J.

AI Match Summary

Kelty Hearts in this Challenge Cup matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kelty Hearts.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kelty Hearts
39%
Draws
30%
St. Mirren B
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kelty Hearts lately — more wins on the board than St. Mirren B.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Cup games in Challenge Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 10%
St. Mirren B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kelty Hearts St. Mirren B
Matches Played 32 12
Wins 8 2
Draws 8 2
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.88 4
Goals Conceded 1.13 4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Challenge Cup
Kelty Hearts vs St. Mirren B
2:1
Aug 10, 2021 Challenge Cup
St. Mirren B vs Kelty Hearts
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kelty Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Diack R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

St. Mirren B Compare

Top Goalscorer Douglas L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kelty Hearts 30 / 100
St. Mirren B 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kelty Hearts St. Mirren B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: St. Mirren B conceded in 100% of 12 recent games.

Kelty Hearts found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: St. Mirren B registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kelty Hearts VS St. Mirren B
0.88 Goals Scored 4
1.13 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inverness660026:418
2Stenhousemuir660018:218
3Montrose651018:916
4East Fife641117:913
5Stranraer641112:613
6East Kilbride640213:1112
7Forfar Athletic640210:812
8Edinburgh City640211:1012
9Spartans632114:811
10Elgin City632111:911
11Dumbarton632110:811
12Annan631215:1010
13Alloa631217:1410
14Kelty Hearts63129:610
15Clyde631214:1210
16Queen of the South631212:1010
17Hamilton631213:89
18Stirling63039:99
19Cove Rangers62229:68
20Peterhead622210:108
21Celtic B620412:156
22Hearts B62049:146
23Hibernian B612311:145
24St. Mirren B61149:154
25Dundee Utd B61055:183
26Aberdeen B60159:201
27Motherwell B60152:171
28Rangers B60066:160
29Kilmarnock B60063:190
30Dundee FC B60064:210