Sport Picks
Kelty Hearts vs St. Mirren B
Scotland
Challenge Cup 2025/2026 New Central Park, Kelty 
Match Events
15'
15'
Douglas L.
24'
24'
Diack R.
Assist: McInally D.
77'
77'
Diack R.
Assist: Brydon J.
AI Match Summary
Kelty Hearts in this Challenge Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Mirren B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kelty Hearts lately — more wins on the board than St. Mirren B.
- St. Mirren B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Kelty Hearts have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Kelty Hearts, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 10%
St. Mirren B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kelty Hearts | St. Mirren B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 17 |
| Wins | 13 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 2.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.74 | 2.52 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 11, 2025 Challenge Cup
Kelty Hearts vs St. Mirren B
2:1
Aug 10, 2021 Challenge Cup
St. Mirren B vs Kelty Hearts
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kelty Hearts Compare
Top Goalscorer Diack R.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.34
Avg xA / game 0.87
St. Mirren B Compare
Top Goalscorer Douglas L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.29
Avg xA / game 1.4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kelty Hearts 10 / 100
St. Mirren B 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kelty Hearts St. Mirren B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Mirren B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St. Mirren B has conceded goals in 100% of their last 17 outings.
Kelty Hearts found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Kelty Hearts stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kelty Hearts VS St. Mirren B
1.88 Goals Scored 2.8
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.6
88% Over 1.5 80%
75% Over 2.5 80%
63% Over 3.5 60%
Recent Form & Match History
Kelty Hearts
(Home) 03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2 Kelty Hearts
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1 Montrose
22 Sept
Kelty Hearts
3 : 5 Hearts B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3 Edinburgh City
12 Sept
Clyde
4 : 1 Kelty Hearts
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1 Montrose
22 Sept
Kelty Hearts
3 : 5 Hearts B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3 Edinburgh City
05 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1 Annan
25 Aug
Kelty Hearts
2 : 4 Clydebank FC
Page 1 of 3
St. Mirren B
(Away) 26 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
2 : 4 St. Mirren B
22 Sept
Clydebank FC
2 : 1 St. Mirren B
08 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 St. Mirren B
25 Aug
East Fife
2 : 5 St. Mirren B
11 Aug
Clyde
1 : 4 St. Mirren B
Page 1 of 4
26 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
2 : 4 St. Mirren B
22 Sept
Clydebank FC
2 : 1 St. Mirren B
08 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 St. Mirren B
25 Aug
East Fife
2 : 5 St. Mirren B
11 Aug
Clyde
1 : 4 St. Mirren B
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:2 | 18 |
| 3 | Montrose | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:9 | 16 |
| 4 | East Fife | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Stranraer | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 6 | East Kilbride | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 8 | Edinburgh City | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Spartans | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 11 |
| 10 | Elgin City | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 11 | Dumbarton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 12 | Annan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Alloa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:14 | 10 |
| 14 | Kelty Hearts | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 15 | Clyde | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Queen of the South | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Hamilton | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 9 |
| 18 | Stirling | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 9 |
| 19 | Cove Rangers | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 20 | Peterhead | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 21 | Celtic B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | 6 |
| 22 | Hearts B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:14 | 6 |
| 23 | Hibernian B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | 5 |
| 24 | St. Mirren B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | 4 |
| 25 | Dundee Utd B | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:18 | 3 |
| 26 | Aberdeen B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9:20 | 1 |
| 27 | Motherwell B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:17 | 1 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6:16 | 0 |
| 29 | Kilmarnock B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:19 | 0 |
| 30 | Dundee FC B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:21 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
