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Kelty Hearts vs Stirling - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Two New Central Park, Kelty
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Moore L.
Assist: Hannah C.
32' Event
Shanley R.
Assist: Higginbotham K.
36'
McManus C.

AI Match Summary

Kelty Hearts in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kelty Hearts.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Kelty Hearts
20%
Draws
36%
Stirling
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kelty Hearts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kelty Hearts lately — more wins on the board than Stirling.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Kelty Hearts taking it.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 10%
Stirling Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kelty Hearts Stirling
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 7
Draws 1 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.46
Goals Conceded 2 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 League Two
Kelty Hearts vs Stirling
3:2
Apr 13, 2024 League One
Kelty Hearts vs Stirling
1:0
Jan 27, 2024 League One
Stirling vs Kelty Hearts
5:0
Oct 28, 2023 League One
Kelty Hearts vs Stirling
1:0
Aug 26, 2023 League One
Stirling vs Kelty Hearts
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kelty Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shanley R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Stirling Compare

Top Goalscorer McLean R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kelty Hearts 34 / 100
Stirling 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kelty Hearts Stirling

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stirling's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Kelty Hearts scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Kelty Hearts has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kelty Hearts VS Stirling
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kelty Hearts

(Home)
03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Kelty Hearts
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Montrose
22 Sept
Kelty Hearts
3 : 5
Hearts B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3
Edinburgh City
12 Sept
Clyde
4 : 1
Kelty Hearts
Page 1 of 6

Stirling

(Away)
03 Oct
Annan
0 : 1
Stirling
26 Sept
Fraserburgh
4 : 3
Stirling
22 Sept
Stirling
1 : 1
Cumbernauld Colts
19 Sept
Stirling
1 : 1
Clyde
12 Sept
Edinburgh City
7 : 3
Stirling
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stranraer 9 5 2 2 17:8 17
2 Clyde 9 5 2 2 21:16 17
3 Elgin City 9 4 2 3 25:16 14
4 Spartans 9 3 3 3 19:17 12
5 Kelty Hearts 9 4 0 5 13:18 12
6 Dumbarton 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
7 Forfar Athletic 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
8 Edinburgh City 9 4 3 2 19:15 10
9 Annan 9 3 0 6 9:11 9
10 Stirling 9 2 2 5 11:22 8
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)