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Kelty Hearts vs Stirling

Scotland Scotland

League Two New Central Park, Kelty
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Moore L.
31' Event
Shanley R.
36'
McManus C.

AI Match Summary

Kelty Hearts in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kelty Hearts.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Kelty Hearts
15%
Draws
42%
Stirling
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kelty Hearts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stirling lately — more wins on the board than Kelty Hearts.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Kelty Hearts taking it.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 16%
Stirling Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kelty Hearts Stirling
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 League Two
Kelty Hearts vs Stirling
3:2
Apr 13, 2024 League One
Kelty Hearts vs Stirling
1:0
Jan 27, 2024 League One
Stirling vs Kelty Hearts
5:0
Oct 28, 2023 League One
Kelty Hearts vs Stirling
1:0
Aug 26, 2023 League One
Stirling vs Kelty Hearts
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kelty Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shanley R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Stirling Compare

Top Goalscorer McLean R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kelty Hearts 41 / 100
Stirling 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kelty Hearts Stirling

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stirling's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Stirling's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Kelty Hearts scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kelty Hearts VS Stirling
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kelty Hearts

(Home)
08 Aug
Kelty Hearts
3 : 2
Stirling
01 Aug
Forfar Athletic
1 : 0
Kelty Hearts
25 Jul
Aberdeen
3 : 0
Kelty Hearts
21 Jul
Kelty Hearts
3 : 2
Brora Rangers
14 Jul
Kelty Hearts
0 : 2
Queen's Park
Page 1 of 6

Stirling

(Away)
08 Aug
Kelty Hearts
3 : 2
Stirling
01 Aug
Stirling
2 : 0
Dumbarton
25 Jul
Arbroath
1 : 0
Stirling
18 Jul
Stirling
0 : 2
Montrose
14 Jul
Spartans
1 : 3
Stirling
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elgin City 2 1 1 0 6:1 4
2 Spartans 2 1 1 0 6:4 4
3 Forfar Athletic 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
4 Stirling 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
5 Clyde 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
6 Kelty Hearts 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
7 Annan 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
8 Dumbarton 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
9 Stranraer 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
10 Edinburgh City 2 0 1 1 2:7 -4
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)