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Kematen vs SV Matrei

Austria Austria

Tirol 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tirol 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Kematen
15%
Draws
39%
SV Matrei
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kematen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kematen lately — more wins on the board than SV Matrei.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Kematen taking it.
  • Regular Tirol 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Kematen Clean Sheet 14%
SV Matrei Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kematen SV Matrei
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 2.1 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2016 Tirol
SV Matrei vs Kematen
0:1
Aug 7, 2015 Tirol
Kematen vs SV Matrei
4:2
Jun 9, 2015 Tirol
Kematen vs SV Matrei
1:1
Oct 18, 2014 Tirol
SV Matrei vs Kematen
1:0
May 31, 2013 Tirol
Kematen vs SV Matrei
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kematen 84 / 100
SV Matrei 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kematen SV Matrei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kematen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kematen's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

SV Matrei has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Kematen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kematen VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kematen

(Home)
03 Oct
Kematen
5 : 0
SC Mils 05
26 Sept
Kolsass Weer
1 : 3
Kematen
19 Sept
Kematen
3 : 0
SV Oberperfuss
12 Sept
FC Volders
1 : 0
Kematen
04 Sept
Kematen
1 : 0
Vols
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SV Matrei

(Away)
17 Jun
Schonwies Mils
0 : 1
SV Matrei
11 Jun
SV Matrei
3 : 2
Hall
03 Jun
SC Kundl
0 : 1
SV Matrei
28 May
U. Innsbruck
2 : 1
SV Matrei
25 May
SV Matrei
1 : 1
Fugen
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