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Kemerspor 2003 vs Araklispor

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 3 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event

AI Match Summary

The TFF 3. Lig Group 3 2011/2012 game between Kemerspor 2003 and Araklispor finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kemerspor 2003.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Kemerspor 2003
15%
Draws
0%
Araklispor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kemerspor 2003

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kemerspor 2003 come out ahead of Araklispor on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kemerspor 2003 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Kemerspor 2003 Clean Sheet 16%
Araklispor Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kemerspor 2003 Araklispor
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.17 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2012 3. Lig Group 3
Kemerspor 2003 vs Araklispor
1:0
Sep 25, 2011 3. Lig Group 3
Araklispor vs Kemerspor 2003
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kemerspor 2003 57 / 100
Araklispor 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kemerspor 2003 Araklispor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kemerspor 2003 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araklispor has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Araklispor lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Kemerspor 2003 found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (36 games).

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Kemerspor 2003 VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kemerspor 2003

(Home)
01 May
Bucaspor 1928
3 : 0
Kemerspor 2003
25 Apr
Kemerspor 2003
2 : 1
Manisaspor
21 Apr
Arnavutkoy Bl.
3 : 1
Kemerspor 2003
14 Apr
Kemerspor 2003
3 : 0
Guzide Gebzespor
08 Apr
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
2 : 0
Kemerspor 2003
Page 1 of 8

Araklispor

(Away)
12 May
Erzurumspor FK
2 : 1
Araklispor
05 May
Araklispor
1 : 3
Siirtspor
29 Apr
Afyonkarahisaspor
4 : 2
Araklispor
22 Apr
Araklispor
0 : 2
Darica Genclerbirligi
15 Apr
Yozgatspor
4 : 0
Araklispor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hatayspor 36 22 6 8 55:29 72
2 Tarsus 36 20 5 11 62:41 65
3 Sancaktepe 36 16 11 9 54:38 59
4 Siirtspor 36 16 10 10 43:34 58
5 Karacabey Bld. 36 15 12 9 51:39 57
6 Darica Genclerbirligi 36 14 11 11 50:42 53
7 Aydinspor 36 14 11 11 43:36 53
8 Erzurumspor FK 36 15 8 13 46:42 53
9 Buyukcekmece Gucu 36 14 11 11 49:46 53
10 Pazarspor 36 14 11 11 44:45 53
11 Yozgatspor 36 13 12 11 45:43 51
12 Dardanelspor 36 11 13 12 30:31 46
13 Kemerspor 2003 36 10 15 11 31:34 45
14 Beylerbeyi SK 36 11 11 14 39:40 44
15 Ankara Demirspor 36 11 9 16 42:47 42
16 Diyarbakir Kayapinar 36 9 11 16 34:46 38
17 Afyonkarahisaspor 36 9 10 17 38:50 37
18 Araklispor 36 8 8 20 36:64 32
19 Carsambaspor 36 4 7 25 25:70 19
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2011/2012 (Play Offs)