Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kemerspor 2003 vs Malatya

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Dilek U.
7' Event
Tutcuoglu G.
69' Event
Akman A.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 game between Kemerspor 2003 and Malatya finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malatya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Kemerspor 2003
15%
Draws
57%
Malatya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malatya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Malatya come out ahead of Kemerspor 2003 on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Malatya taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kemerspor 2003 Clean Sheet 13%
Malatya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kemerspor 2003 Malatya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2021 3. Lig Group 1
Kemerspor 2003 vs Malatya
1:3
Oct 18, 2020 3. Lig Group 1
Malatya vs Kemerspor 2003
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kemerspor 2003 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dilek U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Malatya Compare

Top Goalscorer Tutcuoglu G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akman A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kemerspor 2003 10 / 100
Malatya 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kemerspor 2003 Malatya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malatya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Kemerspor 2003's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Malatya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Kemerspor 2003 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Malatya
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kemerspor 2003

(Home)
01 May
Bucaspor 1928
3 : 0
Kemerspor 2003
25 Apr
Kemerspor 2003
2 : 1
Manisaspor
21 Apr
Arnavutkoy Bl.
3 : 1
Kemerspor 2003
14 Apr
Kemerspor 2003
3 : 0
Guzide Gebzespor
08 Apr
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
2 : 0
Kemerspor 2003
Page 1 of 6

Malatya

(Away)
27 Sept
Malatya
8 : 0
Adanaspor AS
19 Sept
Osmaniyespor
0 : 1
Malatya
12 Sept
Malatya
3 : 1
Kirikkale FK
06 Sept
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
0 : 1
Malatya
16 May
Corluspor
1 : 0
Malatya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 30 20 8 2 43:18 68
2 Bucaspor 1928 30 20 7 3 58:18 67
3 Malatya 30 17 5 8 50:27 56
4 Ofspor 30 14 11 5 43:31 53
5 Arnavutkoy Bl. 30 13 9 8 40:29 48
6 Edirnespor Genclik 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Guzide Gebzespor 30 11 10 9 41:29 43
8 Hopaspor 30 10 9 11 41:44 39
9 Fatsa Bld. 30 10 8 12 22:31 38
10 Kizilcabolukspor 30 9 10 11 34:33 37
11 Nevsehir 30 9 7 14 31:31 34
12 Cankaya FK 30 10 4 16 28:48 34
13 Alemdag 30 9 6 15 37:48 33
14 Kemerspor 2003 30 7 6 17 27:50 27
15 Payasspor 30 5 8 17 29:56 23
16 Manisaspor 30 1 9 20 22:56 12
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)