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Kempston vs Hemel Hempstead

World World

Club Friendly 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Bateman M.
(Penalty)
26' Event
Morgan-Griffiths D.
63' Event
Castiglione J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2021 game between Kempston and Hemel Hempstead finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hemel Hempstead.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Kempston
30%
Draws
35%
Hemel Hempstead
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hemel Hempstead come out ahead of Kempston on wins alone.
  • Kempston are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Kempston Clean Sheet 20%
Hemel Hempstead Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kempston Hemel Hempstead
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.16
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2021 Club Friendly
Kempston vs Hemel Hempstead
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kempston Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Hemel Hempstead Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgan-Griffiths D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castiglione J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kempston 42 / 100
Hemel Hempstead 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kempston Hemel Hempstead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Kempston scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Hemel Hempstead conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Kempston stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hemel Hempstead
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kempston

(Home)
09 Sept
Leighton Town
3 : 1
Kempston
13 Sept
Kempston
0 : 1
Dereham
03 Sept
Kempston
1 : 2
Bedford
25 Jul
Crawley Green
2 : 3
Kempston
20 Jul
Wellingborough
3 : 2
Kempston
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Hemel Hempstead

(Away)
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Tonbridge
08 Sept
Ebbsfleet
0 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
05 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Farnham
31 Aug
Folkestone
2 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
29 Aug
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 3
Weston-super-Mare
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