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Kendal vs Carlisle

World World

Club Friendly 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Sho-Silva T.
22' Event
Dennis K.
26' Event
Hilton S.

AI Match Summary

Carlisle in this Club Friendly 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-9 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carlisle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Kendal
20%
Draws
32%
Carlisle
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kendal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Carlisle lately — more wins on the board than Kendal.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Carlisle taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Carlisle here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kendal Clean Sheet 16%
Carlisle Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kendal Carlisle
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 8 16
Draws 1 7
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.21 2.42
Goals Conceded 2.61 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Kendal vs Carlisle
0:3
Jul 6, 2022 Club Friendly
Kendal vs Carlisle
0:9
Jul 21, 2021 Club Friendly
Kendal vs Carlisle
0:6
Jul 18, 2018 Club Friendly
Kendal vs Carlisle
0:0
Jul 6, 2016 Club Friendly
Kendal vs Carlisle
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kendal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Carlisle Compare

Top Goalscorer Devitt J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Sho-Silva T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kendal 10 / 100
Carlisle 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kendal Carlisle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carlisle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Kendal scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Carlisle conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Carlisle's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Carlisle
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kendal

(Home)
30 Aug
Kendal
0 : 1
Dunston
15 Jul
Kendal
1 : 2
Lancaster
09 Jul
Kendal
0 : 3
Carlisle
06 Jul
Kendal
2 : 1
Morecambe
06 Jul
Kendal
0 : 9
Carlisle
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Carlisle

(Away)
26 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 5
Woking
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0
Carlisle
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1
Forest Green
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2
Southend
05 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1
Carlisle
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