Sport Picks

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KenGold vs Namungo

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Daud M. O.
9' Event
Mwakasaba I.
Assist: Lukindo H.
24' Event
Nyoni E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 game between KenGold and Namungo finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Namungo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
KenGold
15%
Draws
85%
Namungo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Namungo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • KenGold haven't matched Namungo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Namungo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
KenGold Clean Sheet 27%
Namungo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KenGold Namungo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.73 1
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs KenGold
5:0
Dec 15, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
KenGold vs Namungo
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KenGold Compare

Top Goalscorer Daud M. O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mwakasaba I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Namungo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngoye F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nyoni E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KenGold 10 / 100
Namungo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KenGold Namungo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Namungo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

KenGold's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Namungo has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Difficult form: Namungo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Namungo
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KenGold

(Home)
22 Jun
Namungo
5 : 0
KenGold
18 Jun
KenGold
0 : 5
Simba
13 May
KenGold
0 : 2
Pamba
21 Apr
Coastal Union
2 : 1
KenGold
09 Apr
KenGold
1 : 3
Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 6

Namungo

(Away)
11 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Namungo
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1
Namungo
25 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0
Fountain Gate
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 27 1 2 83:10 82
2 Simba 30 25 3 2 69:13 78
3 Azam 30 19 6 5 56:19 63
4 Singida Black Stars 30 17 6 7 45:26 57
5 TRA United 30 10 8 12 28:45 38
6 JKT Tanzania 30 8 12 10 27:27 36
7 Mashujaa 30 8 11 11 29:33 35
8 Coastal Union 30 8 11 11 26:31 35
9 Namungo 30 9 8 13 28:36 35
10 Kinondoni MC 30 9 8 13 26:43 35
11 Pamba 30 8 10 12 22:33 34
12 Dodoma Jiji 30 9 7 14 31:49 34
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 8 7 15 26:46 31
14 Fountain Gate 30 8 5 17 32:58 29
15 Kagera Sugar 30 5 8 17 22:41 23
16 KenGold 30 3 7 20 22:62 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 (Relegation)