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Kenya U17 vs Malawi U17

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2017
Fri, Jul 1, 2016
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CAF African Championship U17 2017. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Malawi U17 have shipped 2.27 goals a game lately, while Kenya U17 have conceded 3 and scored 0.5. Head-to-head, Kenya U17 have won 0 to Malawi U17's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 1, 2016, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.25) point toward Malawi U17. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Kenya U17
15%
Draws
60%
Malawi U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malawi U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Malawi U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Malawi U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Kenya U17 Clean Sheet 19%
Malawi U17 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kenya U17 Malawi U17
Matches Played 4 11
Wins 0 2
Draws 1 0
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 0.5 1.09
Goals Conceded 3 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Kenya U17 vs Malawi U17
0:0
Jun 24, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Malawi U17 vs Kenya U17
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kenya U17 36 / 100
Malawi U17 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kenya U17 Malawi U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malawi U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malawi U17 let in goals in 91% of their last 11 matches.

Malawi U17's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Kenya U17 scored in 50% of their last 4 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Kenya U17 VS Malawi U17
0.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kenya U17

(Home)
20 Aug
Kenya U17
1 : 2
Cameroon U17
07 Aug
Cameroon U17
7 : 0
Kenya U17
24 Apr
Kenya U17
0 : 0
Somalia U17
09 Apr
Somalia U17
3 : 1
Kenya U17

Malawi U17

(Away)
26 Oct
Malawi U17
0 : 3
South Africa U17
07 Dec
Zambia U17
3 : 1
Malawi U17
22 Sept
Botswana U17
2 : 1
Malawi U17
08 Sept
Malawi U17
2 : 1
Botswana U17
01 Nov
Malawi U17
1 : 4
Spain U17
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ghana U17 -
Liberia U17 -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U17 -
Benin U17 -
Sierra Leone U17 -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Niger U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria U17 -
Algeria U17 4
Libya U17 4
TBD -
Gabon U17 -
Mali U17 -
TBD -
D.R. Congo U17 -
Chad U17 -
Egypt U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia U17 -
Senegal U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U17 -
Morocco U17 2
Mauritania U17 1
TBD -
Guinea U17 -
Sudan U17 16
Djibouti U17 0
TBD -
Zambia U17 -
Kenya U17 -
Malawi U17 -
TBD -
Cameroon U17 -
Tanzania U17 9
Seychelles U17 0
TBD -
South Africa U17 -
Namibia U17 2
Botswana U17 2
TBD -
Congo U17 -
Angola U17 -
TBD -
Lesotho U17 -
Mauritius U17 -
Mozambique U17 -
TBD -
Zimbabwe U17 -
Comoros U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Ghana U17 6
Burkina Faso U17 5
Benin U17 2
Ivory Coast U17 4
Niger U17 3
Nigeria U17 2
Algeria U17 0
Gabon U17 1
Mali U17 12
Chad U17 0
Egypt U17 2
Ethiopia U17 5
Senegal U17 6
Tunisia U17 4
Morocco U17 2
Guinea U17 3
Sudan U17 1
Zambia U17 0
Kenya U17 1
Cameroon U17 9
Tanzania U17 3
South Africa U17 1
Namibia U17 1
Congo U17 5
Angola U17 4
Mauritius U17 0
Mozambique U17 1
Comoros U17 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Ghana U17 3
Ivory Coast U17 1
Niger U17 4
Gabon U17 3
Mali U17 4
Ethiopia U17 1
Senegal U17 1
Guinea U17 2
Sudan U17 5
Cameroon U17 7
Tanzania U17 3
Congo U17 3
Angola U17 7
Comoros U17 0
TBD -
TBD -