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Kenya U20 vs Rwanda U20

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2019
Kenya U20 Logo

Kenya U20

1 - 1
FT
Rwanda U20 Logo

Rwanda U20

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
90' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Africa Cup of Nations U20 2019 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Kenya U20
35%
Draws
46%
Rwanda U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rwanda U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Rwanda U20 haven't matched Kenya U20's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Kenya U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Kenya U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Rwanda U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kenya U20 Rwanda U20
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.46 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2024 CECAFA Championship U20
Rwanda U20 vs Kenya U20
0:0
Apr 21, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Rwanda U20 vs Kenya U20
0:0
Apr 1, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Kenya U20 vs Rwanda U20
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kenya U20 32 / 100
Rwanda U20 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kenya U20 Rwanda U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rwanda U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 25 matches.

Kenya U20 found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 0.67 goals per match.

Kenya U20 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kenya U20 VS Rwanda U20
2.38 Goals Scored 0.83
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Kenya U20

(Home)
17 Sept
Burundi U20
2 : 0
Kenya U20
07 May
Nigeria U20
2 : 2
Kenya U20
04 May
Tunisia U20
3 : 1
Kenya U20
01 May
Kenya U20
2 : 3
Morocco U20
24 Apr
Ghana U20
2 : 2
Kenya U20
Page 1 of 6

Rwanda U20

(Away)
17 Sept
Rwanda U20
0 : 0
Ethiopia U20
15 Sept
Tanzania U20
3 : 0
Rwanda U20
15 Oct
Rwanda U20
5 : 1
Djibouti U20
13 Oct
Tanzania U20
3 : 0
Rwanda U20
10 Oct
Rwanda U20
0 : 0
Kenya U20
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mauritania U20 2
Morocco U20 1
TBD -
Guinea U20 -
Guinea-Bissau U20 1
Sierra Leone U20 0
TBD -
Nigeria U20 -
Ghana U20 -
TBD -
Tunisia U20 2
Algeria U20 5
Gambia U20 -
TBD -
Liberia U20 -
Benin U20 -
Burkina Faso U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Libya U20 -
Ivory Coast U20 -
TBD -
Togo U20 2
Gabon U20 5
Zambia U20 -
TBD -
Kenya U20 1
Rwanda U20 1
Sudan U20 -
TBD -
Ethiopia U20 0
Burundi U20 3
Cameroon U20 -
TBD -
South Sudan U20 1
Uganda U20 8
Tanzania U20 1
D.R. Congo U20 0
TBD -
Mali U20 -
South Africa U20 -
TBD -
Seychelles U20 0
Mozambique U20 6
Angola U20 -
TBD -
Eswatini U20 1
Malawi U20 1
Congo U20 -
TBD -
Namibia U20 1
Botswana U20 1
Egypt U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Senegal U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Mauritania U20 3
Guinea U20 3
Guinea-Bissau U20 2
Nigeria U20 3
Ghana U20 2
Algeria U20 0
Gambia U20 2
Benin U20 3
Burkina Faso U20 6
Libya U20 4
Ivory Coast U20 2
Gabon U20 3
Zambia U20 3
Rwanda U20 1
Sudan U20 1
Burundi U20 3
Cameroon U20 2
Uganda U20 1
Tanzania U20 2
Mali U20 6
South Africa U20 4
Mozambique U20 1
Angola U20 3
Malawi U20 5
Congo U20 4
Botswana U20 1
Egypt U20 0
Senegal U20 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 1
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Mauritania U20 1
Nigeria U20 6
Ghana U20 4
Benin U20 2
Burkina Faso U20 4
Gabon U20 1
Zambia U20 1
Burundi U20 3
Cameroon U20 1
Mali U20 4
South Africa U20 2
Malawi U20 0
Congo U20 3
Senegal U20 6
TBD -
TBD -