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Kenya U20 vs South Sudan U20

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship U20 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with South Sudan U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Kenya U20
35%
Draws
46%
South Sudan U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: South Sudan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kenya U20 come out ahead of South Sudan U20 on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Kenya U20 taking it.
  • Kenya U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor South Sudan U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Kenya U20 Clean Sheet 20%
South Sudan U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kenya U20 South Sudan U20
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 8 7
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.45 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.90 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 CECAFA Championship U20
Kenya U20 vs South Sudan U20
1:1
Dec 2, 2020 CECAFA Championship U20
Kenya U20 vs South Sudan U20
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kenya U20 42 / 100
South Sudan U20 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kenya U20 South Sudan U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kenya U20 found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

South Sudan U20 let in goals in 67% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Kenya U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kenya U20 VS South Sudan U20
2.38 Goals Scored 0.71
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.43
88% Over 1.5 57%
88% Over 2.5 43%
63% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Kenya U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Kenya U20
1 : 1
South Sudan U20
17 Sept
Burundi U20
2 : 0
Kenya U20
07 May
Nigeria U20
2 : 2
Kenya U20
04 May
Tunisia U20
3 : 1
Kenya U20
01 May
Kenya U20
2 : 3
Morocco U20
Page 1 of 6

South Sudan U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Kenya U20
1 : 1
South Sudan U20
15 Sept
South Sudan U20
0 : 4
Burundi U20
11 Oct
Uganda U20
2 : 2
South Sudan U20
09 Oct
South Sudan U20
2 : 1
Ethiopia U20
07 Oct
South Sudan U20
0 : 1
Burundi U20
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Uganda U20 3
Kenya U20 1
Tanzania U20 1
South Sudan U20 0
Final
Uganda U20 4
Tanzania U20 1
Kenya U20 1
South Sudan U20 2