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Kenya W vs Australia W

World World

Friendly International Women Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Kerr S.
46'
Sub
Raso H. In: van Egmond E.
Out: Raso H.
55' Event
Wheeler C.
Assist: Foord C.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women game between Kenya W and Australia W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Australia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Kenya W
15%
Draws
64%
Australia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Australia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Australia W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Australia W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Kenya W Clean Sheet 14%
Australia W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kenya W Australia W
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 16 19
Draws 3 2
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.8 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Friendly International Women
Kenya W vs Australia W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kenya W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Australia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerr S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wheeler C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kenya W 10 / 100
Australia W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kenya W Australia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Australia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kenya W found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (35 games).

Australia W let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Kenya W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kenya W VS Australia W
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kenya W

(Home)
03 Aug
Kenya W
0 : 2
Algeria W
30 Jul
Senegal W
1 : 0
Kenya W
26 Jul
Morocco W
4 : 0
Kenya W
09 Jun
Lesotho W
0 : 6
Kenya W
06 Jun
Zambia W
2 : 1
Kenya W
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Australia W

(Away)
09 Jun
Australia W
3 : 1
Mexico W
06 Jun
Australia W
0 : 1
Mexico W
15 Apr
Kenya W
0 : 2
Australia W
11 Apr
Australia W
5 : 0
Malawi W
21 Mar
Japan W
1 : 0
Australia W
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