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Kenya W vs Djibouti W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kenya W play Djibouti W in the Africa Cup of Nations Women 2006. Kenya W are favorites here. Recently, Kenya W averaged 2.03 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Djibouti W averaged 0.3 goals scored and 5.25 conceded. In past meetings, Kenya W won 2, Djibouti W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 19, 2019 ended 12:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Kenya W and 1.40 for Djibouti W. This points to a Kenya W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Kenya W
15%
Draws
12%
Djibouti W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kenya W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kenya W picked up more points recently compared to Djibouti W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 1.40 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23%
Kenya W Clean Sheet 17%
Djibouti W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kenya W Djibouti W
Matches Played 35 20
Wins 16 3
Draws 4 0
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 2.03 0.3
Goals Conceded 0.97 5.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2019 CECAFA Championship Women
Kenya W vs Djibouti W
12:0
Mar 26, 2006 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Kenya W vs Djibouti W
7:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kenya W 69 / 100
Djibouti W 13 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kenya W Djibouti W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kenya W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Kenya W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.4%
1.54
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kenya W attacking → ← attacking Djibouti W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kenya W scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Djibouti W let in goals in 100% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 9.50 goals.

Kenya W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Djibouti W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 9
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.67
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.33