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Kenya W vs Ethiopia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship Women 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Kenya W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Kenya W
15%
Draws
51%
Ethiopia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethiopia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ethiopia W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Ethiopia W taking it.
  • Ethiopia W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kenya W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Kenya W Clean Sheet 10%
Ethiopia W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kenya W Ethiopia W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.86 3.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2019 CECAFA Championship Women
Ethiopia W vs Kenya W
0:2
Aug 17, 2019 Friendly International Women
Kenya W vs Ethiopia W
3:2
Jul 25, 2018 CECAFA Championship Women
Kenya W vs Ethiopia W
0:1
Sep 18, 2016 CECAFA Championship Women
Kenya W vs Ethiopia W
3:2
Sep 30, 2012 Friendly International Women
Ethiopia W vs Kenya W
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kenya W 10 / 100
Ethiopia W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kenya W Ethiopia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethiopia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Kenya W's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Ethiopia W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Kenya W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kenya W VS Ethiopia W
0.63 Goals Scored 6.75
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kenya W

(Home)
08 Oct
Seychelles W
0 : 11
Kenya W
03 Aug
Kenya W
0 : 2
Algeria W
30 Jul
Senegal W
1 : 0
Kenya W
26 Jul
Morocco W
4 : 0
Kenya W
09 Jun
Lesotho W
0 : 6
Kenya W
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Ethiopia W

(Away)
07 Oct
Rwanda W
0 : 1
Ethiopia W
03 Oct
Ethiopia W
10 : 0
Seychelles W
30 Sept
Ethiopia W
16 : 0
Seychelles W
28 Oct
Ethiopia W
0 : 1
Tanzania W
22 Oct
Tanzania W
2 : 0
Ethiopia W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Kenya W 3
Ethiopia W 2
Tanzania W 4
Uganda W 1
Final
Kenya W 1
Tanzania W 2
Ethiopia W 4
Uganda W 1