Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kenya W vs Gambia W Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women
Kenya W Logo

Kenya W

3 - 1
FT
Gambia W Logo

Gambia W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Kenya W
15%
Draws
42%
Gambia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kenya W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kenya W lately — more wins on the board than Gambia W.
  • Model gives Kenya W a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Kenya W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kenya W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Kenya W Clean Sheet 68%
Gambia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kenya W Gambia W
Matches Played 28 21
Wins 11 5
Draws 3 3
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.46 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Gambia W vs Kenya W
0:1
Oct 24, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Kenya W vs Gambia W
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kenya W 77 / 100
Gambia W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kenya W Gambia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kenya W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gambia W conceded in 86% of 21 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Away concern: Gambia W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Kenya W scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Kenya W VS Gambia W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kenya W

(Home)
03 Aug
Kenya W
0 : 2
Algeria W
30 Jul
Senegal W
1 : 0
Kenya W
26 Jul
Morocco W
4 : 0
Kenya W
09 Jun
Lesotho W
0 : 6
Kenya W
06 Jun
Zambia W
2 : 1
Kenya W
Page 1 of 6

Gambia W

(Away)
28 Oct
Gambia W
0 : 1
Kenya W
24 Oct
Kenya W
3 : 1
Gambia W
26 May
Guinea W
4 : 3
Gambia W
24 May
Gambia W
0 : 6
Senegal W
22 May
Sierra Leone W
0 : 3
Gambia W
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Angola W 4
Zimbabwe W 3
Malawi W -
Congo W -
Botswana W 0
D.R. Congo W 2
TBD -
South Africa W -
Tanzania W 4
Equatorial Guinea W 2
Uganda W 2
Ethiopia W 3
Eswatini W 0
Namibia W 4
TBD -
Zambia W -
Burundi W 1
Burkina Faso W 5
Djibouti W 0
Togo W 10
South Sudan W 0
Algeria W 8
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Rwanda W 2
Egypt W 3
TBD -
Ghana W -
Kenya W 1
Tunisia W 0
Niger W 1
Gambia W 4
Benin W 5
Sierra Leone W 2
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W 3
Cape Verde W 6
Gabon W 1
Mali W 10
Chad W -
Senegal W -
TBD -
Ivory Coast W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Angola W 0
Malawi W 2
D.R. Congo W 1
South Africa W 2
Tanzania W 3
Ethiopia W 0
Namibia W 2
Zambia W 7
Burkina Faso W 3
Togo W 0
Algeria W 3
Cameroon W 1
Egypt W 0
Ghana W 7
Kenya W 4
Gambia W 1
Benin W 1
Nigeria W 3
Cape Verde W 4
Mali W 3
Senegal W 1
Ivory Coast W 0
TBD -
TBD -