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Kenya W vs South Sudan W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kenya W play South Sudan W in the Africa Cup of Nations Women 2022. Kenya W are favorites here. Recently, Kenya W averaged 1.87 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. South Sudan W averaged 0.82 goals scored and 3.61 conceded. In past meetings, Kenya W won 3, South Sudan W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 19, 2025 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.26 for Kenya W and 0.72 for South Sudan W. This points to a Kenya W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Kenya W
15%
Draws
12%
South Sudan W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kenya W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kenya W picked up more points recently compared to South Sudan W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.26 vs 0.72 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25%
Kenya W Clean Sheet 27%
South Sudan W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kenya W South Sudan W
Matches Played 38 28
Wins 18 5
Draws 4 1
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.87 0.82
Goals Conceded 0.97 3.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2025 CECAFA Championship Women
Kenya W vs South Sudan W
4:0
Oct 23, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations Women
South Sudan W vs Kenya W
1:7
Oct 20, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Kenya W vs South Sudan W
8:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kenya W 71 / 100
South Sudan W 13 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kenya W South Sudan W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kenya W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Kenya W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.4%
1.54
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kenya W attacking → ← attacking South Sudan W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kenya W scored in 67% of their last 36 games.

South Sudan W let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 6.67 goals.

Kenya W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

South Sudan W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 16
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.80
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.40