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Kepez Bld. vs Karsiyaka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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3. Lig Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Cevher T.
Penalty Missed
82' Event
Akgun E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Karsiyaka in this 3. Lig Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karsiyaka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Kepez Bld.
35%
Draws
40%
Karsiyaka
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Karsiyaka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Karsiyaka lately — more wins on the board than Kepez Bld..
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kepez Bld. Clean Sheet 11%
Karsiyaka Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kepez Bld. Karsiyaka
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 4 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.89 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Kepez Bld. vs Karsiyaka
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kepez Bld. 30 / 100
Karsiyaka 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kepez Bld. Karsiyaka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kepez Bld. scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Kepez Bld. remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Karsiyaka let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Kepez Bld. VS Karsiyaka
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kepez Bld.

(Home)
03 Oct
Kepez Bld.
0 : 1
Karsiyaka
27 Sept
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
0 : 0
Kepez Bld.
20 Sept
Kepez Bld.
1 : 1
Soke 1970
16 Sept
Karaman FK
2 : 3
Kepez Bld.
12 Sept
Ayvalikgucu
4 : 1
Kepez Bld.
Page 1 of 6

Karsiyaka

(Away)
06 Oct
Karsiyaka
3 : 1
Afyonkarahisaspor
03 Oct
Kepez Bld.
0 : 1
Karsiyaka
26 Sept
Karsiyaka
0 : 1
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
19 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 2
Karsiyaka
12 Sept
Karsiyaka
1 : 1
Altay
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gemlikspor 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Etimesgut 5 4 0 1 7:1 12
3 Eskisehir Anadolu 5 3 2 0 10:3 11
4 Bursa Yildirimspor 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Eskisehirspor 5 3 1 1 16:6 10
6 Ayvalikgucu 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
7 Balikesirspor 5 3 0 2 14:12 9
8 Bigaspor 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
9 Soke 1970 5 1 3 1 5:4 6
10 Altay 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
11 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
12 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
13 Karsiyaka 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 Bucaspor 1928 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
15 Aksehirspor 5 1 0 4 4:13 3
16 Kepez Bld. 5 0 2 3 2:8 2
17 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 5 0 2 3 1:10 2
18 Alanya 1221 5 0 1 4 1:13 1
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)