Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kepez Bld. vs Tarsus

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Gemici E.
(Penalty)
29' Event
Gemici E.
32' Event
Gemici E.

AI Match Summary

Kepez Bld. in this 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 9-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kepez Bld..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Kepez Bld.
15%
Draws
85%
Tarsus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tarsus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Kepez Bld. have won more games recently than Tarsus.
  • Win probability leans Kepez Bld.'s way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kepez Bld. Clean Sheet 16%
Tarsus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kepez Bld. Tarsus
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 7 2
Draws 6 4
Losses 20 24
Goals Scored 1.39 0.7
Goals Conceded 2.15 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Kepez Bld. vs Tarsus
9:0
Nov 26, 2023 3. Lig Group 1
Tarsus vs Kepez Bld.
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kepez Bld. Compare

Top Goalscorer Gemici E.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gulden B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Tarsus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kepez Bld. 84 / 100
Tarsus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kepez Bld. Tarsus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kepez Bld. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tarsus conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Kepez Bld. found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Away concern: Tarsus has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kepez Bld. VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kepez Bld.

(Home)
25 Apr
Batman Petrolspor
6 : 0
Kepez Bld.
19 Apr
Kepez Bld.
2 : 4
Altinordu
12 Apr
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
1 : 0
Kepez Bld.
08 Apr
Kepez Bld.
2 : 3
Ankaragucu
04 Apr
Elazigspor
3 : 1
Kepez Bld.
Page 1 of 7

Tarsus

(Away)
27 Apr
Tarsus
1 : 1
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
21 Apr
Inegol Kafkas
3 : 1
Tarsus
14 Apr
Tarsus
2 : 5
Edirnespor Genclik
07 Apr
Kepez Bld.
9 : 0
Tarsus
03 Apr
Tarsus
0 : 5
Kirikkale FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kepez Bld. 28 22 4 2 67:18 70
2 Aliaga 28 19 9 0 60:18 66
3 Ayvalikgucu 28 15 7 6 40:25 52
4 52 Orduspor 28 14 7 7 40:28 49
5 Inegol Kafkas 28 13 8 7 37:30 47
6 Edirnespor Genclik 28 13 5 10 45:28 44
7 Mardin 1969 28 12 5 11 40:34 41
8 Kucukcekmece 28 10 8 10 41:31 38
9 Karabuk Idmanyurdu 28 10 5 13 27:44 35
10 Hopaspor 28 9 7 12 33:29 34
11 Erciyes 38 28 10 4 14 34:45 34
12 Kirikkale FK 28 8 5 15 31:42 29
13 Gumushanespor 28 4 10 14 25:49 22
14 Arguvan 28 3 4 21 21:57 13
15 Tarsus 28 2 4 22 20:83 10
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)