Sport Picks
Kerala Blasters vs Mohun Bagan
India
Super Cup 2025 Kalinga Stadium, Bhubaneswar 
Match Events
22'
22'
Samad S.
44'
44'
Kuruniyan A.
46'
46'
Sub
Aimen M. In: Peprah K.
Out: Aimen M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Mohun Bagan advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
20%
35%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kerala Blasters
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mohun Bagan carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Kerala Blasters's way, sitting at 40%.
- Mohun Bagan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Mohun Bagan, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Mohun Bagan have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Kerala Blasters Clean Sheet 68%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kerala Blasters | Mohun Bagan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 34 |
| Wins | 13 | 23 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 2.09 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 14, 2026 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs Kerala Blasters
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Super Cup
Kerala Blasters vs Mohun Bagan
1:2
Feb 15, 2025 ISL
Kerala Blasters vs Mohun Bagan
0:3
Dec 14, 2024 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs Kerala Blasters
3:2
Mar 13, 2024 ISL
Kerala Blasters vs Mohun Bagan
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kerala Blasters Compare
Top Goalscorer M S S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Mohun Bagan Compare
Top Goalscorer Samad S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bhat S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kerala Blasters 50 / 100
Mohun Bagan 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kerala Blasters Mohun Bagan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kerala Blasters Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Kerala Blasters went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Kerala Blasters scored in 71% of their last 31 games.
Mohun Bagan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 41% of 34 matches.
Scoring Trends
Kerala Blasters VS Mohun Bagan
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Kerala Blasters
(Home) 18 May
Kerala Blasters
2 : 1 FC Goa
10 May
Kerala Blasters
3 : 1 Mohammedan
23 Apr
Kerala Blasters
2 : 1 Odisha FC
18 Apr
Kerala Blasters
2 : 0 Jamshedpur
15 Apr
Kerala Blasters
1 : 1 North East United
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18 May
Kerala Blasters
2 : 1 FC Goa
10 May
Kerala Blasters
3 : 1 Mohammedan
23 Apr
Kerala Blasters
2 : 1 Odisha FC
18 Apr
Kerala Blasters
2 : 0 Jamshedpur
15 Apr
Kerala Blasters
1 : 1 North East United
Page 1 of 4
Mohun Bagan
(Away) 04 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 Minerva Punjab
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1 North East United
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0 Sreenidi Deccan
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1 Mohun Bagan
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 North East United
Page 1 of 7
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1 Mohun Bagan
25 Jul
East Bengal
0 : 1 Mohun Bagan
09 May
FC Goa
1 : 1 Mohun Bagan
19 Apr
North East United
0 : 1 Mohun Bagan
04 Apr
Jamshedpur
1 : 1 Mohun Bagan
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Kerala Blasters 2
East Bengal 0
Mohun Bagan -
Churchill Brothers -
FC Goa 3
Gokulam 0
Odisha FC 0
Minerva Punjab 3
Bengaluru FC 1
Inter Kashi 2
Mumbai City 4
Chennaiyin FC 0
North East United 6
Mohammedan 0
Jamshedpur 2
Hyderabad 0
Quarter-finals
Kerala Blasters 1
Mohun Bagan 2
FC Goa 2
Minerva Punjab 1
Inter Kashi 0
Mumbai City 1
North East United 0
Jamshedpur 1
Semi-finals
Mohun Bagan 1
FC Goa 3
Mumbai City 0
Jamshedpur 1
Final
FC Goa 3
Jamshedpur 0
