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Kerala vs Jammu Kashmir (J&K)

India India

Santosh Trophy 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Gopalan J.
14' Event
Sajeesh E. S.
45' Event
Ashiq Shoukathali M.

AI Match Summary

The Santosh Trophy 2023/2024 game between Kerala and Jammu Kashmir (J&K) finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kerala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Kerala
39%
Draws
31%
Jammu Kashmir (J&K)
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kerala come out ahead of Jammu Kashmir (J&K) on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kerala here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Kerala Clean Sheet 20%
Jammu Kashmir (J&K) Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kerala Jammu Kashmir (J&K)
Matches Played 31 25
Wins 20 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 27, 2024 Santosh Trophy
Kerala vs Jammu Kashmir (J&K)
1:0
Oct 13, 2023 Santosh Trophy
Kerala vs Jammu Kashmir (J&K)
6:1
Jan 5, 2023 Santosh Trophy
Kerala vs Jammu Kashmir (J&K)
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kerala Compare

Top Goalscorer Gopalan J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sajeesh E. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Jammu Kashmir (J&K) Compare

Top Goalscorer Faisal T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kerala 31 / 100
Jammu Kashmir (J&K) 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kerala Jammu Kashmir (J&K)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kerala found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Jammu Kashmir (J&K) let in goals in 64% of their last 25 matches.

Recent resilience: Kerala stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kerala VS Jammu Kashmir (J&K)
2 Goals Scored 1.57
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.43
75% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Goa FT43105:210
2Kerala430112:29
3Gujarat42117:57
4Jammu Kashmir (J&K)41034:103
5Chhattisgarh40040:90
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Delhi football team54106:113
2Punjab FT53029:29
3Odisha football team53028:39
4West Bengal FT52217:38
5Ladakh51042:173
6Haryana50140:61
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manipur550021:415
2Uttar Pradesh540112:912
3Tamilnadu521213:57
4Nagaland521213:97
5Madhya Pradesh50141:161
6Jharkhand50142:191
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Assam550020:015
2Railways540113:212
3Chandigarh53026:59
4Himachal Pradesh51136:164
5Rajasthan FC51136:174
6Bihar50051:120
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Services550021:315
2Mizoram540114:212
3Uttarakhand530211:69
4Pondicherry51134:214
5Sikkim FA51043:83
6DNHDD FT50143:161
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maharashtra550024:115
2Telangana52218:38
3Lakshadweep52217:68
4Tripura51224:65
5Andamans & Nicobar51133:164
6Andhra Pradesh50140:141