Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kercem Ajax vs Fgura

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kercem Ajax in this FA Trophy 2019/2020 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Kercem Ajax
20%
Draws
58%
Fgura
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fgura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Kercem Ajax at 2.63 per game, Fgura at 1.97.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Fgura taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Kercem Ajax, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Kercem Ajax Clean Sheet 11%
Fgura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kercem Ajax Fgura
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 15
Draws 0 3
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 2.63 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2019 FA Trophy
Kercem Ajax vs Fgura
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kercem Ajax 18 / 100
Fgura 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kercem Ajax Fgura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fgura Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kercem Ajax scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Fgura let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Kercem Ajax stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kercem Ajax VS Fgura
0.67 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kercem Ajax

(Home)
18 Mar
Birzebbuga
1 : 0
Kercem Ajax
27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2
Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Zurrieq
4 : 0
Kercem Ajax
13 Dec
Zejtun
3 : 2
Kercem Ajax
15 Feb
Hibernians
8 : 0
Kercem Ajax
Page 1 of 6

Fgura

(Away)
19 Sept
Fgura
1 : 1
Sirens
13 Sept
Zebbug
0 : 4
Fgura
19 Apr
Swieqi
1 : 1
Fgura
11 Apr
Melita
0 : 1
Fgura
04 Apr
Fgura
0 : 4
Pieta
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sannat Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nadur -
TBD -
TBD -
Oratory -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Qala Saints -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharb -
TBD -
St. Lawrence 0
Xewkija 5
Mgarr -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
TBD -
Ghaxaq 4
Zebbug Rovers 1
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Kirkop 2
Kercem Ajax 3
Xbiex 1
Munxar 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalkara -
Xaghra 2
St. Venera 0
Victoria Wanderers 2
Ghajnsielem 3
Siggiewi 1
Marsaskala FC 0
Victoria Hotspurs 7
Mdina 0
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qrendi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Xghajra -
Msida -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zabbar -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
1/64-finals
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 0
Gharghur 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
Nadur 4
Oratory 0
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Qala Saints 2
Dingli Swallows 3
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
Gharb 0
Xewkija 2
Mgarr -
TBD -
Mtarfa 0
Ghaxaq 2
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Kercem Ajax 5
Munxar 0
TBD -
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalkara -
Xaghra 3
Ghajnsielem 1
Siggiewi 0
Victoria Hotspurs 4
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qrendi -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Xghajra -
Msida 1
Attard 2
TBD -
Zabbar -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
1/32-finals
Floriana -
TBD -
Zurrieq 0
Melita 2
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Rabat Ajax 4
Gharghur 1
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Vittoriosa 0
Nadur 3
Balzan FC -
TBD -
San Gwann 2
Marsa 0
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Dingli Swallows 1
Mqabba FC 3
Pieta 4
St. George's FC 1
Birzebbuga 2
Xewkija 7
Mgarr 5
Ghaxaq 1
Marsaxlokk 1
St. Andrews 3
TBD -
Valletta -
Kercem Ajax 2
Fgura 1
TBD -
Sirens -
Zebbug 3
Kalkara 1
Xaghra 0
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Gudja -
TBD -
Qrendi 0
Lija 5
Pembroke 3
Xghajra 0
Attard 0
Zabbar 1
Zejtun 2
Naxxar Lions 1
TBD -
Hibernians -
Qormi 1
Luqa 0
Mellieha 1
Swieqi 4
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
1/16-finals
Floriana 6
Melita 1
Gzira 1
Senglea 2
Rabat Ajax 0
Mosta FC 7
Birkirkara 1
Nadur 0
Balzan FC 3
San Gwann 0
Sliema 0
Santa Lucia 2
Mqabba FC 0
Pieta 3
Xewkija 5
Mgarr 2
St. Andrews 0
Valletta 4
Kercem Ajax 1
Sirens 4
Zebbug 3
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Gudja 3
Lija 0
Pembroke 6
Zabbar 0
Zejtun 0
Hibernians 3
Qormi 2
Swieqi 3
Tarxien 1
Hamrun 2
1/8-finals
Floriana 2
Senglea 0
Mosta FC 1
Birkirkara 2
Balzan FC 2
Santa Lucia 0
Pieta 2
Xewkija 1
Valletta 4
Sirens 1
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Gudja 3
Pembroke 0
Hibernians 4
Swieqi 1
Hamrun 3
Quarter-finals
Floriana 2
Birkirkara 1
Balzan FC 0
Pieta 1
Valletta 2
Gudja 0
Hibernians 2
Hamrun 1
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -