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Kercem Ajax vs St. Lawrence - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-2, with Kercem Ajax advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Kercem Ajax
15%
Draws
42%
St. Lawrence
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kercem Ajax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Kercem Ajax carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kercem Ajax's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Kercem Ajax have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kercem Ajax, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Kercem Ajax Clean Sheet 17%
St. Lawrence Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kercem Ajax St. Lawrence
Matches Played 30 12
Wins 15 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 2.63 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.58
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2013 FA Trophy
Kercem Ajax vs St. Lawrence
6:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kercem Ajax 84 / 100
St. Lawrence 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kercem Ajax St. Lawrence

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kercem Ajax Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kercem Ajax's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Defensive concern: St. Lawrence conceded in 75% of 12 recent games.

Away concern: St. Lawrence has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kercem Ajax VS St. Lawrence
3.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kercem Ajax

(Home)
18 Mar
Birzebbuga
1 : 0
Kercem Ajax
27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2
Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Zurrieq
4 : 0
Kercem Ajax
13 Dec
Zejtun
3 : 2
Kercem Ajax
15 Feb
Hibernians
8 : 0
Kercem Ajax
Page 1 of 6

St. Lawrence

(Away)
09 Sept
St. Lawrence
0 : 5
Xewkija
01 Sept
St. Lawrence
0 : 2
Ghaxaq
03 Sept
Xghajra
4 : 1
St. Lawrence
23 Oct
Lija
5 : 0
St. Lawrence
10 Sept
St. Lawrence
3 : 0
Zurrieq
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
Xbiex 4
Ghajnsielem 1
TBD -
Pembroke -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
Qrendi 2
Swieqi 3
Zabbar -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Kercem Ajax 6
St. Lawrence 2
Santa Lucia 1
Luqa 2
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
Mdina -
Sirens 10
Sannat Lions 1
TBD -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Victoria Hotspurs 2
Munxar 1
Mtarfa 0
Oratory 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Xewkija 4
Kalkara 0
TBD -
Lija -
Melita -
TBD -
Ghaxaq 2
Nadur 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
Xaghra 2
St. Venera 1
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Senglea -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirkop -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Msida -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Mgarr 2
Attard 0
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
Victoria Wanderers 2
Xghajra 0
TBD -
Marsaskala FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qormi -
1/32-finals
Gzira 5
Zurrieq 1
Xbiex 0
Pembroke 6
Siggiewi 5
Swieqi 2
Zabbar 3
St. George's FC 4
Kercem Ajax 1
Luqa 2
Fgura 1
Mdina 2
Sirens 1
Marsa 0
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
Zejtun 0
Gudja 1
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Oratory 0
TBD -
Floriana -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
Xewkija 0
Lija 4
Melita 3
Nadur 0
TBD -
Valletta -
Pieta 1
Hamrun 0
Xaghra 0
Mqabba FC 1
Senglea 4
Kirkop 2
TBD -
Hibernians -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Msida 0
Birzebbuga 1
Zebbug 3
Dingli Swallows 0
TBD -
Sliema -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
San Gwann 4
Marsaxlokk 0
Mgarr 0
St. Andrews 3
Tarxien -
TBD -
Gharghur 1
Mellieha 4
Victoria Wanderers 1
Marsaskala FC 0
TBD -
Qormi -
1/16-finals
Gzira 1
Pembroke 0
Siggiewi 0
St. George's FC 6
Kercem Ajax 5
Mdina 1
Sirens 1
Rabat Ajax 3
Naxxar Lions 3
Gudja 0
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Floriana 4
Mosta FC 2
Lija 1
Melita 1
Valletta 3
Pieta 1
Mqabba FC 0
Senglea 1
Hibernians 6
Balzan FC 5
Birzebbuga 2
Zebbug 1
Sliema 3
Birkirkara 4
Vittoriosa 1
San Gwann 1
St. Andrews 2
Tarxien 1
Mellieha 0
Victoria Wanderers 0
Qormi 1
1/8-finals
Gzira 2
St. George's FC 1
Kercem Ajax 1
Rabat Ajax 5
Naxxar Lions 1
Floriana 0
Mosta FC 0
Valletta 3
Pieta 1
Hibernians 0
Balzan FC 1
Sliema 2
Birkirkara 4
St. Andrews 0
Tarxien 0
Qormi 1
Quarter-finals
Gzira 2
Rabat Ajax 1
Naxxar Lions 0
Valletta 1
Pieta 0
Sliema 2
Birkirkara 1
Qormi 3
Semi-finals
Gzira 0
Valletta 2
Sliema 1
Qormi 0
Final
Valletta 1
Sliema 0