Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kercem Ajax vs Zebbug

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Mizzi A.
44' Event
Mizzi J. P.
45' Event
Rolovic O.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-1, with Kercem Ajax advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Kercem Ajax
15%
Draws
59%
Zebbug
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zebbug

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Zebbug haven't matched Kercem Ajax's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Kercem Ajax have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kercem Ajax, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Kercem Ajax Clean Sheet 18%
Zebbug Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kercem Ajax Zebbug
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 15 8
Draws 0 6
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 2.63 1.11
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.58 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2017 FA Trophy
Kercem Ajax vs Zebbug
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kercem Ajax Compare

Top Goalscorer Mizzi A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mizzi J. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.79

Zebbug Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafael
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kercem Ajax 36 / 100
Zebbug 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kercem Ajax Zebbug

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zebbug Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kercem Ajax scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Zebbug's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Kercem Ajax has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kercem Ajax VS Zebbug
0.67 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kercem Ajax

(Home)
18 Mar
Birzebbuga
1 : 0
Kercem Ajax
27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2
Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Zurrieq
4 : 0
Kercem Ajax
13 Dec
Zejtun
3 : 2
Kercem Ajax
15 Feb
Hibernians
8 : 0
Kercem Ajax
Page 1 of 6

Zebbug

(Away)
20 Sept
Naxxar Lions
3 : 1
Zebbug
13 Sept
Zebbug
0 : 4
Fgura
18 Apr
Zebbug
1 : 1
Marsa
11 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 1
Zebbug
04 Apr
Gudja
1 : 2
Zebbug
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
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Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Melita -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirkop -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
St. George's FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Kercem Ajax -
TBD -
Ghaxaq 0
Oratory 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
Sirens -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zebbug -
Qormi -
TBD -
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Fgura -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Qala Saints -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qrendi -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
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Nadur 4
Xaghra 1
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
Xghajra 4
St. Lawrence 1
TBD -
Msida -
Victoria Wanderers -
TBD -
Marsaskala FC 1
Xewkija 4
Hamrun -
TBD -
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Gzira -
St. Andrews -
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Sliema -
Valletta -
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Senglea -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Luqa -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
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Pieta -
Mosta FC -
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Mgarr -
TBD -
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Mqabba FC -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Zabbar -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
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Mtarfa -
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Zejtun -
Lija -
TBD -
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St. Venera -
TBD -
TBD -
Xbiex -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalkara -
Swieqi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mdina -
TBD -
Munxar 3
Mellieha 4
TBD -
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Tarxien -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
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Floriana -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
1/64-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Melita -
TBD -
Kirkop 2
Ghajnsielem 3
St. George's FC -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Kercem Ajax 5
Oratory 4
TBD -
Attard -
Sirens -
TBD -
TBD -
Zebbug -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
Zurrieq 3
Qala Saints 1
TBD -
Qrendi -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
Nadur 0
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
Xghajra 2
Msida 1
Victoria Wanderers 1
Xewkija 4
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gzira -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Pieta -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
Zabbar -
Dingli Swallows 3
Mtarfa 1
TBD -
Zejtun -
Lija -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Venera 4
Xbiex 1
TBD -
Kalkara -
Swieqi -
TBD -
Mdina 2
Mellieha 3
TBD -
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Tarxien -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Floriana -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
1/32-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Marsa 0
Santa Lucia 4
Melita 4
Ghajnsielem 3
St. George's FC 0
San Gwann 2
Kercem Ajax 2
Attard 0
Sirens 1
Zebbug 3
Qormi 4
Fgura 1
Zurrieq 1
Qrendi 4
Hibernians -
TBD -
Birzebbuga 0
Victoria Hotspurs 4
Vittoriosa 7
Gharghur 1
Xghajra 2
Xewkija 5
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
Gzira -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Siggiewi 4
Luqa 2
Pembroke 1
Pieta 3
Mosta FC -
TBD -
Mgarr 0
Mqabba FC 3
Marsaxlokk 5
Zabbar 0
Dingli Swallows 0
Zejtun 5
Lija -
TBD -
St. Venera 1
Kalkara 2
Swieqi 2
Mellieha 1
TBD -
Tarxien -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Gudja 3
Rabat Ajax 0
TBD -
Balzan FC -
1/16-finals
Birkirkara 5
Santa Lucia 0
Melita 0
San Gwann 3
Kercem Ajax 5
Zebbug 1
Qormi 0
Qrendi 2
Hibernians 2
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Vittoriosa 0
Xewkija 4
Hamrun 1
Gzira 0
St. Andrews 1
Sliema 3
Valletta 2
Senglea 0
Siggiewi 2
Pieta 3
Mosta FC 2
Mqabba FC 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Zejtun 3
Lija 4
Kalkara 0
Swieqi 0
Tarxien 3
Naxxar Lions 3
Floriana 1
Gudja 1
Balzan FC 4
1/8-finals
Birkirkara 2
San Gwann 1
Kercem Ajax 3
Qrendi 4
Hibernians 3
Xewkija 0
Hamrun 0
Sliema 1
Valletta 1
Pieta 0
Mosta FC 1
Zejtun 2
Lija 2
Tarxien 1
Naxxar Lions 0
Balzan FC 2
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara 3
Qrendi 0
Hibernians 0
Sliema 1
Valletta 2
Zejtun 0
Lija 1
Balzan FC 3
Semi-finals
Birkirkara 2
Sliema 1
Valletta 2
Balzan FC 1
Final
Birkirkara 1
Valletta 2