Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Mejri M.
41'
41'
Ezzine A.
73'
73'
Omri H.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Kerkennah and Sfax Railways finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sfax Railways.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sfax Railways
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sfax Railways come out ahead of Kerkennah on wins alone.
- Model gives Kerkennah a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Kerkennah Clean Sheet 68%
Sfax Railways Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kerkennah | Sfax Railways |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2026 Ligue 2
Kerkennah vs Sfax Railways
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Ligue 2
Sfax Railways vs Kerkennah
0:0
Apr 21, 2025 Ligue 2
Sfax Railways vs Kerkennah
1:1
Dec 8, 2024 Ligue 2
Kerkennah vs Sfax Railways
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kerkennah Compare
Top Goalscorer Mejri M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Sfax Railways Compare
Top Goalscorer Ezzine A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Omri H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kerkennah 51 / 100
Sfax Railways 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kerkennah Sfax Railways
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kerkennah's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Defensive concern: Sfax Railways conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Kerkennah went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kerkennah VS Sfax Railways
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Kerkennah
(Home) 03 Oct
EM Mahdia
2 : 1 Kerkennah
26 Sept
Kerkennah
1 : 2 Msaken
20 Sept
Kerkennah
0 : 1 Ksour Essef
12 Sept
Kerkennah
5 : 0 Kalaa
11 May
EM Mahdia
1 : 3 Kerkennah
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Kerkennah
1 : 2 Msaken
20 Sept
Kerkennah
0 : 1 Ksour Essef
12 Sept
Kerkennah
5 : 0 Kalaa
01 May
Kerkennah
0 : 0 Hammam-Lif
27 Apr
Kerkennah
2 : 1 Hamam-Sousse
Page 1 of 4
Sfax Railways
(Away) 03 Oct
Sfax Railways
0 : 0 AS Gabes
26 Sept
Chebba
1 : 2 Sfax Railways
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1 AS Agareb
01 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 2 Sfax Railways
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3 Sfax Railways
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Chebba
1 : 2 Sfax Railways
01 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 2 Sfax Railways
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3 Sfax Railways
13 Apr
BS Bouhajla
1 : 2 Sfax Railways
29 Mar
EM Mahdia
0 : 0 Sfax Railways
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
