Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kerry vs Wexford

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Mounthawk Park, Tralee
Kerry Logo

Kerry

2 - 1
FT
Wexford Logo

Wexford

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Doyle J.
13' Event
Kelliher R.
30'
Brosnan C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Kerry and Wexford finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kerry.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Kerry
15%
Draws
26%
Wexford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kerry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kerry come out ahead of Wexford on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Kerry taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Kerry Clean Sheet 68%
Wexford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kerry Wexford
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Division 1
Wexford vs Kerry
2:2
May 15, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs Wexford
2:1
Mar 13, 2026 Division 1
Wexford vs Kerry
1:1
Oct 10, 2025 Division 1
Kerry vs Wexford
0:2
Jun 27, 2025 Division 1
Wexford vs Kerry
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kerry Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelliher R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Wexford Compare

Top Goalscorer Doyle J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kerry 86 / 100
Wexford 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kerry Wexford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kerry Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kerry's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Wexford's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Kerry stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kerry VS Wexford
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kerry

(Home)
11 Sept
Kerry
0 : 1
Bray
05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1
Kerry
28 Aug
Kerry
3 : 1
Treaty United
21 Aug
Kerry
1 : 1
UC Dublin
15 Aug
Sligo Rovers
4 : 0
Kerry
Page 1 of 6

Wexford

(Away)
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3
Finn Harps
04 Sept
Treaty United
0 : 1
Wexford
28 Aug
Cork City
2 : 0
Wexford
21 Aug
Wexford
0 : 2
Athlone
07 Aug
UC Dublin
4 : 1
Wexford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 31 21 5 5 64:29 68
2 UC Dublin 31 14 7 10 55:40 49
3 Bray 31 13 8 10 59:44 47
4 Cobh Ramblers 31 13 6 12 38:43 45
5 Kerry 31 11 9 11 39:36 42
6 Longford 31 11 8 12 41:41 41
7 Athlone 31 11 8 12 33:36 41
8 Wexford 31 10 7 14 34:46 37
9 Treaty United 31 8 9 14 31:45 33
10 Finn Harps 31 6 7 18 29:63 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)