Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kerry vs Wexford

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Mounthawk Park, Tralee
Kerry Logo

Kerry

1 - 0
FT
Wexford Logo

Wexford

Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Rowe M.
67' Event
McGrath S.
69'
Sub
Perez R. In: Keane R.
Out: Perez R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kerry in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kerry.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Kerry
15%
Draws
37%
Wexford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kerry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kerry lately — more wins on the board than Wexford.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Kerry taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kerry Clean Sheet 18%
Wexford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kerry Wexford
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.31 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs Wexford
1:0
Jul 10, 2026 Division 1
Wexford vs Kerry
2:2
May 15, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs Wexford
2:1
Mar 13, 2026 Division 1
Wexford vs Kerry
1:1
Oct 10, 2025 Division 1
Kerry vs Wexford
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kerry Compare

Top Goalscorer McGrath S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Wexford Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kerry 40 / 100
Wexford 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kerry Wexford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kerry Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kerry scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Wexford conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Kerry remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kerry VS Wexford
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kerry

(Home)
02 Oct
Finn Harps
1 : 2
Kerry
25 Sept
Kerry
1 : 0
Wexford
18 Sept
Athlone
3 : 0
Kerry
11 Sept
Kerry
0 : 1
Bray
05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1
Kerry
Page 1 of 6

Wexford

(Away)
02 Oct
Wexford
3 : 3
Longford
25 Sept
Kerry
1 : 0
Wexford
18 Sept
Wexford
3 : 1
Cobh Ramblers
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3
Finn Harps
04 Sept
Treaty United
0 : 1
Wexford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 34 22 5 7 71:34 71
2 Bray 34 15 8 11 65:49 53
3 UC Dublin 34 15 7 12 61:48 52
4 Cobh Ramblers 34 14 7 13 46:50 49
5 Longford 34 13 9 12 47:45 48
6 Kerry 34 13 9 12 42:40 48
7 Athlone 34 13 9 12 41:40 48
8 Wexford 34 11 8 15 40:51 41
9 Treaty United 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
10 Finn Harps 34 6 7 21 31:68 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)