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Keski-Uusimaa vs RoPS Rovaniemi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Kalevan Urheilupuisto, Kerava
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Heiserholt F.
18' Event
Niemi O.
21' Event
Nijgh B.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Keski-Uusimaa in this Ykkonen matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Keski-Uusimaa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Keski-Uusimaa
20%
Draws
40%
RoPS Rovaniemi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to RoPS Rovaniemi lately — more wins on the board than Keski-Uusimaa.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Keski-Uusimaa taking it.
  • Regular Ykkonen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Keski-Uusimaa Clean Sheet 20%
RoPS Rovaniemi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keski-Uusimaa RoPS Rovaniemi
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.79 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs RoPS Rovaniemi
3:1
Jul 5, 2026 Ykkonen
RoPS Rovaniemi vs Keski-Uusimaa
4:3
Apr 18, 2026 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs RoPS Rovaniemi
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs RoPS Rovaniemi
2:2
Jul 2, 2025 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs RoPS Rovaniemi
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keski-Uusimaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Niemi O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Deng A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

RoPS Rovaniemi Compare

Top Goalscorer Heiserholt F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keski-Uusimaa 85 / 100
RoPS Rovaniemi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keski-Uusimaa RoPS Rovaniemi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keski-Uusimaa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Keski-Uusimaa scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

RoPS Rovaniemi let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Keski-Uusimaa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Keski-Uusimaa VS RoPS Rovaniemi
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Keski-Uusimaa

(Home)
26 Sept
OLS Oulu
3 : 0
Keski-Uusimaa
19 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa
3 : 1
RoPS Rovaniemi
12 Sept
Tampere Utd
3 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
29 Aug
TPV
0 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
21 Aug
Keski-Uusimaa
2 : 2
JJK Jyvaskyla
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RoPS Rovaniemi

(Away)
26 Sept
RoPS Rovaniemi
3 : 1
SalPa
19 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa
3 : 1
RoPS Rovaniemi
12 Sept
RoPS Rovaniemi
1 : 1
OLS Oulu
29 Aug
RoPS Rovaniemi
2 : 0
VJS
22 Aug
Tampere Utd
4 : 0
RoPS Rovaniemi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampere Utd 25 15 5 5 58:26 50
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 25 12 8 5 52:37 44
3 SalPa 25 12 6 7 52:45 42
4 OLS Oulu 25 11 8 6 50:37 41
5 Keski-Uusimaa 25 10 8 7 45:37 38
6 JJK Jyvaskyla 25 8 7 10 55:53 31
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