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Keski-Uusimaa W vs TPS W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women Kalevan Urheilupuisto tekonurmi, Kerava
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Sjoman M.
49' Event
Kivikoski P.
57' Event
Jarnstrom M.

AI Match Summary

TPS W in this Kansallinen Ykkonen Women matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored TPS W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Keski-Uusimaa W
20%
Draws
40%
TPS W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • TPS W have won more games recently than Keski-Uusimaa W.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Keski-Uusimaa W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Keski-Uusimaa W Clean Sheet 20%
TPS W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keski-Uusimaa W TPS W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 3 8
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.8 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs Keski-Uusimaa W
3:1
Aug 17, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Keski-Uusimaa W vs TPS W
2:3
Jul 19, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs Keski-Uusimaa W
2:2
May 9, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Keski-Uusimaa W vs TPS W
3:1
Sep 24, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs Keski-Uusimaa W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keski-Uusimaa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sjoman M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Surakka I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

TPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kivikoski P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jarnstrom M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keski-Uusimaa W 85 / 100
TPS W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keski-Uusimaa W TPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keski-Uusimaa W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keski-Uusimaa W found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

TPS W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Keski-Uusimaa W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Keski-Uusimaa W VS TPS W
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Keski-Uusimaa W

(Home)
05 Oct
TPS W
3 : 1
Keski-Uusimaa W
28 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa W
3 : 1
HJK Akatemia W
20 Sept
KTP W
1 : 4
Keski-Uusimaa W
12 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa W
7 : 0
Lahti W
29 Aug
ONS Oulu W
1 : 1
Keski-Uusimaa W
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TPS W

(Away)
05 Oct
TPS W
3 : 1
Keski-Uusimaa W
26 Sept
Lahti W
0 : 0
TPS W
18 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
2 : 3
TPS W
12 Sept
TPS W
0 : 2
ONS Oulu W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
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